Official National Weather Service observations from the New York City Central Park station (KNYC) recorded a low temperature of 42°F on April 26, 2026—the coldest reading of the day amid clear skies and light winds that promoted radiational cooling overnight—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome. This matched pre-event NOAA forecast model guidance anticipating lows in the low 40s under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, cooler than the late-April climatological normal of around 49°F but within historical variability for the season. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare equipment malfunctions prompting data revisions, though current preliminary climate summaries show strong validation; watch for the final monthly report from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Nova York em 26 de abril?
42-43°F 100.0%
35°F ou menos <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$49,066 Vol.
$49,066 Vol.
35°F ou menos
Não
36-37°F
Não
38-39°F
Não
40-41°F
Não
42-43°F
Sim
44-45°F
Não
46-47°F
Não
48-49°F
Não
50-51°F
Não
52-53°F
Não
54°F ou mais
Não
42-43°F 100.0%
35°F ou menos <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$49,066 Vol.
$49,066 Vol.
35°F ou menos
Não
36-37°F
Não
38-39°F
Não
40-41°F
Não
42-43°F
Sim
44-45°F
Não
46-47°F
Não
48-49°F
Não
50-51°F
Não
52-53°F
Não
54°F ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Official National Weather Service observations from the New York City Central Park station (KNYC) recorded a low temperature of 42°F on April 26, 2026—the coldest reading of the day amid clear skies and light winds that promoted radiational cooling overnight—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome. This matched pre-event NOAA forecast model guidance anticipating lows in the low 40s under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, cooler than the late-April climatological normal of around 49°F but within historical variability for the season. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare equipment malfunctions prompting data revisions, though current preliminary climate summaries show strong validation; watch for the final monthly report from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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