Recent short-range forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF show variability in overnight radiative cooling for Paris on July 18, with minimum temperatures hinging on cloud cover, Atlantic frontal passages, and boundary-layer wind patterns that could advect cooler maritime air or sustain warmer continental conditions. Following mid-July heat and thundery showers on the 17th, traders see near-even odds between a dip to 12°C or below versus stabilization near 17°C because ensemble spreads remain wide on dew-point depression and subsidence strength. Upcoming model runs and official guidance will clarify whether clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling below seasonal 15–16°C averages or if lingering moisture caps the low.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris em 18 de julho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris em 18 de julho?
17°C 100.0%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$21,841 Vol.
$21,841 Vol.
18 jul 2026
12°C ou menos
Não
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Sim
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C ou mais
Não
17°C 100.0%
12°C ou menos <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$21,841 Vol.
$21,841 Vol.
18 jul 2026
12°C ou menos
$667 Vol.
Não
13°C
$466 Vol.
Não
14°C
$692 Vol.
Não
15°C
$1,033 Vol.
Não
16°C
$1,698 Vol.
Não
17°C
$3,551 Vol.
Sim
18°C
$7,919 Vol.
Não
19°C
$2,809 Vol.
Não
20°C
$1,042 Vol.
Não
21°C
$1,644 Vol.
Não
22°C ou mais
$317 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF show variability in overnight radiative cooling for Paris on July 18, with minimum temperatures hinging on cloud cover, Atlantic frontal passages, and boundary-layer wind patterns that could advect cooler maritime air or sustain warmer continental conditions. Following mid-July heat and thundery showers on the 17th, traders see near-even odds between a dip to 12°C or below versus stabilization near 17°C because ensemble spreads remain wide on dew-point depression and subsidence strength. Upcoming model runs and official guidance will clarify whether clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling below seasonal 15–16°C averages or if lingering moisture caps the low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$21,841Data de Término
18 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF show variability in overnight radiative cooling for Paris on July 18, with minimum temperatures hinging on cloud cover, Atlantic frontal passages, and boundary-layer wind patterns that could advect cooler maritime air or sustain warmer continental conditions. Following mid-July heat and thundery showers on the 17th, traders see near-even odds between a dip to 12°C or below versus stabilization near 17°C because ensemble spreads remain wide on dew-point depression and subsidence strength. Upcoming model runs and official guidance will clarify whether clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling below seasonal 15–16°C averages or if lingering moisture caps the low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,841Data de Término
18 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent short-range forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF show variability in overnight radiative cooling for Paris on July 18, with minimum temperatures hinging on cloud cover, Atlantic frontal passages, and boundary-layer wind patterns that could advect cooler maritime air or sustain warmer continental conditions. Following mid-July heat and thundery showers on the 17th, traders see near-even odds between a dip to 12°C or below versus stabilization near 17°C because ensemble spreads remain wide on dew-point depression and subsidence strength. Upcoming model runs and official guidance will clarify whether clearer skies enable stronger nocturnal cooling below seasonal 15–16°C averages or if lingering moisture caps the low.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions