Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 20 de julho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Paris no dia 20 de julho?
12°C 100.0%
10°C ou menos <1%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
$22,466 Vol.
$22,466 Vol.
20 jul 2026
10°C ou menos
Não
11°C
Não
12°C
Sim
13°C
Não
14°C
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C ou mais
Não
12°C 100.0%
10°C ou menos <1%
11°C <1%
13°C <1%
$22,466 Vol.
$22,466 Vol.
20 jul 2026
10°C ou menos
$1,401 Vol.
Não
11°C
$1,577 Vol.
Não
12°C
$2,276 Vol.
Sim
13°C
$11,449 Vol.
Não
14°C
$918 Vol.
Não
15°C
$478 Vol.
Não
16°C
$1,027 Vol.
Não
17°C
$886 Vol.
Não
18°C
$522 Vol.
Não
19°C
$527 Vol.
Não
20°C ou mais
$1,405 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$22,466Data de Término
20 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,466Data de Término
20 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to clear skies and light northerly flow over Paris, enabling strong nocturnal radiative cooling and minimum temperatures likely settling between 12–15°C on July 20. This range underpins the tightly clustered market-implied odds near 12°C, 13°C, and 14°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in cloud timing and urban heat-island effects against typical mid-July baselines of 15–16°C. Warmer residual air from the early-month heatwave has moderated, yet any increase in low-level moisture or wind could limit the drop below 14°C. Final model runs and official observations through the night of July 19–20 will provide the decisive data ahead of market resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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