Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a stable overnight pattern for Seoul on June 19, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects the typical early-summer climatology of rising nocturnal minima (historical June lows averaging ~19 °C) tempered by current high-pressure influence that limits radiational cooling. Key differentiating variables include exact dew-point recovery, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective remnants that could nudge the minimum by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes because model runs converge on this range, while lower probabilities on 19 °C or 22 °C reflect tail risks from forecast adjustments expected in the final 24-hour updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul em 19 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul em 19 de junho?
21°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,895 Vol.
$32,895 Vol.
19 jun 2026
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Sim
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
21°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,895 Vol.
$32,895 Vol.
19 jun 2026
15°C ou menos
$869 Vol.
Não
16°C
$692 Vol.
Não
17°C
$2,778 Vol.
Não
18°C
$2,175 Vol.
Não
19°C
$3,190 Vol.
Não
20°C
$5,862 Vol.
Não
21°C
$14,463 Vol.
Sim
22°C
$797 Vol.
Não
23°C
$643 Vol.
Não
24°C
$510 Vol.
Não
25°C ou mais
$917 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a stable overnight pattern for Seoul on June 19, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects the typical early-summer climatology of rising nocturnal minima (historical June lows averaging ~19 °C) tempered by current high-pressure influence that limits radiational cooling. Key differentiating variables include exact dew-point recovery, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective remnants that could nudge the minimum by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes because model runs converge on this range, while lower probabilities on 19 °C or 22 °C reflect tail risks from forecast adjustments expected in the final 24-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$32,895Data de Término
19 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a stable overnight pattern for Seoul on June 19, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects the typical early-summer climatology of rising nocturnal minima (historical June lows averaging ~19 °C) tempered by current high-pressure influence that limits radiational cooling. Key differentiating variables include exact dew-point recovery, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective remnants that could nudge the minimum by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes because model runs converge on this range, while lower probabilities on 19 °C or 22 °C reflect tail risks from forecast adjustments expected in the final 24-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,895Data de Término
19 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a stable overnight pattern for Seoul on June 19, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects the typical early-summer climatology of rising nocturnal minima (historical June lows averaging ~19 °C) tempered by current high-pressure influence that limits radiational cooling. Key differentiating variables include exact dew-point recovery, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective remnants that could nudge the minimum by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes because model runs converge on this range, while lower probabilities on 19 °C or 22 °C reflect tail risks from forecast adjustments expected in the final 24-hour updates.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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