Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Seul em 25 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Seul em 25 de junho?
20°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,625 Vol.
$21,625 Vol.
25 jun 2026
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Sim
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
20°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,625 Vol.
$21,625 Vol.
25 jun 2026
15°C ou menos
$705 Vol.
Não
16°C
$675 Vol.
Não
17°C
$937 Vol.
Não
18°C
$2,255 Vol.
Não
19°C
$3,440 Vol.
Não
20°C
$7,594 Vol.
Sim
21°C
$2,015 Vol.
Não
22°C
$2,029 Vol.
Não
23°C
$1,269 Vol.
Não
24°C
$370 Vol.
Não
25°C ou mais
$337 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$21,625Data de Término
25 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,625Data de Término
25 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Trader consensus on Seoul's June 25 minimum temperature shows tight clustering around 18–21°C, reflecting genuine short-range forecast uncertainty rather than strong model agreement. Primary drivers include variable cloud cover and radiative cooling overnight, modulated by the early East Asian summer monsoon pattern and weak pressure gradients that limit advection from the Yellow Sea. Recent global model runs (GFS, ECMWF) diverge on nocturnal boundary-layer mixing and urban heat retention, with clearer-sky scenarios favoring the lower end and increased moisture supporting mid-20s readings. KMA updates and next 48-hour ensemble guidance will likely shift implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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