Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 15 will reach 22°C, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure influence, moderate easterly flow, and typical East Asian monsoon transition patterns that suppress stronger cooling. Mid-June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C, with current surface observations and short-range guidance aligning tightly around this value. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution. An unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy precipitation could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai no dia 15 de junho?
22°C 100.0%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$42,668 Vol.
$42,668 Vol.
17°C ou menos
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Sim
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C ou mais
Não
22°C 100.0%
17°C ou menos <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$42,668 Vol.
$42,668 Vol.
17°C ou menos
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Sim
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 15 will reach 22°C, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure influence, moderate easterly flow, and typical East Asian monsoon transition patterns that suppress stronger cooling. Mid-June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C, with current surface observations and short-range guidance aligning tightly around this value. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution. An unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy precipitation could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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