Current ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate a nighttime minimum temperature on June 19 most likely in the 23–25°C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 25°C. Typical early-summer conditions—high humidity, moderate winds, and possible cloud cover or showers—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect sustains warmer lows compared to rural surroundings. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited spread around these values, though small shifts in timing of any frontal passage or precipitation could push the recorded minimum toward 23°C or hold it near 25°C. Historical June climatology places average lows near 20–22°C, but recent patterns and the day's specific setup support the tighter clustering traders have priced. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 19 de junho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Xangai em 19 de junho?
24°C 100.0%
19 °C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$33,113 Vol.
$33,113 Vol.
19 jun 2026
19 °C ou menos
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Sim
25°C
Não
26°C
Não
27°C
Não
28°C
Não
29°C ou mais
Não
24°C 100.0%
19 °C ou menos <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$33,113 Vol.
$33,113 Vol.
19 jun 2026
19 °C ou menos
$364 Vol.
Não
20°C
$643 Vol.
Não
21°C
$1,599 Vol.
Não
22°C
$2,042 Vol.
Não
23°C
$6,046 Vol.
Não
24°C
$11,319 Vol.
Sim
25°C
$8,092 Vol.
Não
26°C
$697 Vol.
Não
27°C
$966 Vol.
Não
28°C
$1,012 Vol.
Não
29°C ou mais
$334 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate a nighttime minimum temperature on June 19 most likely in the 23–25°C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 25°C. Typical early-summer conditions—high humidity, moderate winds, and possible cloud cover or showers—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect sustains warmer lows compared to rural surroundings. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited spread around these values, though small shifts in timing of any frontal passage or precipitation could push the recorded minimum toward 23°C or hold it near 25°C. Historical June climatology places average lows near 20–22°C, but recent patterns and the day's specific setup support the tighter clustering traders have priced. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$33,113Data de Término
19 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate a nighttime minimum temperature on June 19 most likely in the 23–25°C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 25°C. Typical early-summer conditions—high humidity, moderate winds, and possible cloud cover or showers—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect sustains warmer lows compared to rural surroundings. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited spread around these values, though small shifts in timing of any frontal passage or precipitation could push the recorded minimum toward 23°C or hold it near 25°C. Historical June climatology places average lows near 20–22°C, but recent patterns and the day's specific setup support the tighter clustering traders have priced. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,113Data de Término
19 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate a nighttime minimum temperature on June 19 most likely in the 23–25°C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 25°C. Typical early-summer conditions—high humidity, moderate winds, and possible cloud cover or showers—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect sustains warmer lows compared to rural surroundings. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited spread around these values, though small shifts in timing of any frontal passage or precipitation could push the recorded minimum toward 23°C or hold it near 25°C. Historical June climatology places average lows near 20–22°C, but recent patterns and the day's specific setup support the tighter clustering traders have priced. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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