Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 8, supporting overnight lows near 21°C by limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of early July. This consensus across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23°C, where even modest shifts in cloud breaks or steering patterns could tip readings a degree lower or sustain them higher. Above-normal seasonal temperatures add slight upward pressure, yet short-term variability in marine layer influence and urban heat retention keeps probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any re-pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 8 de julho?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 8 de julho?
22°C 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,641 Vol.
$32,641 Vol.
8 jul 2026
16°C ou menos
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Sim
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C
Não
26°C ou mais
Não
22°C 100.0%
16°C ou menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,641 Vol.
$32,641 Vol.
8 jul 2026
16°C ou menos
$3,226 Vol.
Não
17°C
$2,664 Vol.
Não
18°C
$1,320 Vol.
Não
19°C
$1,845 Vol.
Não
20°C
$2,273 Vol.
Não
21°C
$2,640 Vol.
Não
22°C
$5,126 Vol.
Sim
23°C
$4,667 Vol.
Não
24°C
$2,302 Vol.
Não
25°C
$2,753 Vol.
Não
26°C ou mais
$3,824 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 8, supporting overnight lows near 21°C by limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of early July. This consensus across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23°C, where even modest shifts in cloud breaks or steering patterns could tip readings a degree lower or sustain them higher. Above-normal seasonal temperatures add slight upward pressure, yet short-term variability in marine layer influence and urban heat retention keeps probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any re-pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$32,641Data de Término
8 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 8, supporting overnight lows near 21°C by limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of early July. This consensus across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23°C, where even modest shifts in cloud breaks or steering patterns could tip readings a degree lower or sustain them higher. Above-normal seasonal temperatures add slight upward pressure, yet short-term variability in marine layer influence and urban heat retention keeps probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any re-pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,641Data de Término
8 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 8, supporting overnight lows near 21°C by limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of early July. This consensus across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23°C, where even modest shifts in cloud breaks or steering patterns could tip readings a degree lower or sustain them higher. Above-normal seasonal temperatures add slight upward pressure, yet short-term variability in marine layer influence and urban heat retention keeps probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any re-pricing.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions