Current observational data from Tokyo's official weather stations, including those operated by the Japan Meteorological Agency, indicate that the daily minimum has already reached 18°C, aligning with typical mid-June climatology where nighttime lows average 17–20°C under stable high-pressure conditions. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows limited further cooling overnight due to urban heat retention and light winds, locking in this threshold with high confidence. While rare measurement revisions or microclimate variations at specific stations could theoretically alter the recorded low, such shifts remain improbable given multiple corroborating sites and the advanced stage of the diurnal cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 15 de junho?
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$16,038 Vol.
$16,038 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$16,038 Vol.
$16,038 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: No
Sem contestação
Resultado final: No
Current observational data from Tokyo's official weather stations, including those operated by the Japan Meteorological Agency, indicate that the daily minimum has already reached 18°C, aligning with typical mid-June climatology where nighttime lows average 17–20°C under stable high-pressure conditions. Model consensus from regional forecasts shows limited further cooling overnight due to urban heat retention and light winds, locking in this threshold with high confidence. While rare measurement revisions or microclimate variations at specific stations could theoretically alter the recorded low, such shifts remain improbable given multiple corroborating sites and the advanced stage of the diurnal cycle.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions