Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models have converged on an overnight low of 19°C for Tokyo on June 17, supported by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, light southerly flow, and partly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling. This setup keeps minimum temperatures near or slightly above the mid-June climatological average of 17–19°C, with above-normal seasonal warmth from an expanded Pacific High reducing the potential for sharper nocturnal drops. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certainty because short-range guidance shows high consistency within a narrow 18–20°C band, though modest shifts in cloud cover, timing of any showers, or localized wind changes could still nudge the observed low by 1°C before final measurement at official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 17 de junho?
19°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$20,904 Vol.
$20,904 Vol.
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Sim
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
19°C 100.0%
15°C ou menos <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$20,904 Vol.
$20,904 Vol.
15°C ou menos
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Não
19°C
Sim
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C
Não
25°C ou mais
Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent ensemble forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models have converged on an overnight low of 19°C for Tokyo on June 17, supported by a stable subtropical high-pressure system, light southerly flow, and partly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling. This setup keeps minimum temperatures near or slightly above the mid-June climatological average of 17–19°C, with above-normal seasonal warmth from an expanded Pacific High reducing the potential for sharper nocturnal drops. Traders have priced this outcome at near-certainty because short-range guidance shows high consistency within a narrow 18–20°C band, though modest shifts in cloud cover, timing of any showers, or localized wind changes could still nudge the observed low by 1°C before final measurement at official stations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado


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