Recent meteorological forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 18°C on May 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal warming that align with late-spring climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show minimal spread around this value, with surface observations and upper-air data reinforcing the outlook over cooler alternatives. This near-certain market consensus reflects strong model agreement and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A rapid, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or station-specific microclimate variation could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and verification timelines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 25 de maio?
Temperatura mais baixa em Tóquio no dia 25 de maio?
18°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$38,680 Vol.
$38,680 Vol.
25 mai 2026
14°C ou menos
Não
15°C
Não
16°C
Não
17°C
Não
18°C
Sim
19°C
Não
20°C
Não
21°C
Não
22°C
Não
23°C
Não
24°C ou mais
Não
18°C 100.0%
14°C ou menos <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$38,680 Vol.
$38,680 Vol.
25 mai 2026
14°C ou menos
$1,717 Vol.
Não
15°C
$2,503 Vol.
Não
16°C
$2,599 Vol.
Não
17°C
$3,623 Vol.
Não
18°C
$4,469 Vol.
Sim
19°C
$11,152 Vol.
Não
20°C
$847 Vol.
Não
21°C
$1,568 Vol.
Não
22°C
$1,501 Vol.
Não
23°C
$1,773 Vol.
Não
24°C ou mais
$6,928 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 18°C on May 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal warming that align with late-spring climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show minimal spread around this value, with surface observations and upper-air data reinforcing the outlook over cooler alternatives. This near-certain market consensus reflects strong model agreement and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A rapid, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or station-specific microclimate variation could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and verification timelines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$38,680Data de Término
25 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 18°C on May 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal warming that align with late-spring climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show minimal spread around this value, with surface observations and upper-air data reinforcing the outlook over cooler alternatives. This near-certain market consensus reflects strong model agreement and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A rapid, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or station-specific microclimate variation could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and verification timelines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$38,680Data de Término
25 mai 2026Mercado Aberto
May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Recent meteorological forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 18°C on May 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal warming that align with late-spring climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show minimal spread around this value, with surface observations and upper-air data reinforcing the outlook over cooler alternatives. This near-certain market consensus reflects strong model agreement and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A rapid, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or station-specific microclimate variation could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and verification timelines.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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