Paul Skenes holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 NL Cy Young at 26.5%, but the market remains razor-tight with Hunter Greene, Mitch Keller, and prospect Jacob Misiorowski clustered within 5 points, reflecting parity among rising aces entering their primes. Skenes' 2024 breakout (1.96 ERA, 170 strikeouts in 133 innings) fuels optimism for the Pirates' staff ace, yet Greene's elite velocity (99+ mph fastball) and Keller's durability (consistent 180+ innings) counterbalance, while Misiorowski's minor-league dominance (sub-2.00 ERA, 14+ K/9) evokes high-upside hype for Milwaukee. Health histories, rotation depth, and divisional competitiveness in the NL Central keep implied probabilities volatile, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in this long-term futures race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoPaul Skenes 23%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 12%
Cristopher Sanchez 11%
Nolan McLean 6.1%
Paul Skenes
27%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
12%
Cristopher Sanchez
11%
Nolan McLean
6%
Brandon Woodruff
6%
Hunter Greene
23%
Nick Lodolo
5%
Logan Webb
5%
Chris Sale
4%
Zack Wheeler
3%
Blake Snell
3%
Jacob Misiorowski
21%
Shohei Ohtani
8%
Freddy Peralta
2%
Tyler Glasnow
2%
Eury Perez
2%
Michael King
2%
Jesus Luzardo
2%
Spencer Schwellenbach
2%
Spencer Strider
2%
Nick Pivetta
2%
Mitch Keller
23%
Paul Skenes 23%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 12%
Cristopher Sanchez 11%
Nolan McLean 6.1%
Paul Skenes
27%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto
12%
Cristopher Sanchez
11%
Nolan McLean
6%
Brandon Woodruff
6%
Hunter Greene
23%
Nick Lodolo
5%
Logan Webb
5%
Chris Sale
4%
Zack Wheeler
3%
Blake Snell
3%
Jacob Misiorowski
21%
Shohei Ohtani
8%
Freddy Peralta
2%
Tyler Glasnow
2%
Eury Perez
2%
Michael King
2%
Jesus Luzardo
2%
Spencer Schwellenbach
2%
Spencer Strider
2%
Nick Pivetta
2%
Mitch Keller
23%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Paul Skenes holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the 2026 NL Cy Young at 26.5%, but the market remains razor-tight with Hunter Greene, Mitch Keller, and prospect Jacob Misiorowski clustered within 5 points, reflecting parity among rising aces entering their primes. Skenes' 2024 breakout (1.96 ERA, 170 strikeouts in 133 innings) fuels optimism for the Pirates' staff ace, yet Greene's elite velocity (99+ mph fastball) and Keller's durability (consistent 180+ innings) counterbalance, while Misiorowski's minor-league dominance (sub-2.00 ERA, 14+ K/9) evokes high-upside hype for Milwaukee. Health histories, rotation depth, and divisional competitiveness in the NL Central keep implied probabilities volatile, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in this long-term futures race.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions