Microsoft shares have traded near $355 amid a roughly 25% year-to-date decline from the $555 peak reached in July 2025, despite fiscal Q3 2026 results showing revenue of $82.89 billion and EPS of $4.27 that exceeded estimates, with Azure growth exceeding 40% and AI run-rate surpassing $37 billion. The primary near-term catalyst is the fiscal Q4 earnings release expected around July 28–29, which will directly influence end-of-month closing levels amid ongoing capital expenditure on AI infrastructure and commercial remaining performance obligations near $627 billion. Analyst consensus price targets remain above $560, reflecting sustained cloud and productivity segment momentum, though broader technology sector rotation and memory cost pressures have weighed on near-term sentiment and implied volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of July?
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above ___ end of July?
NOVO
31 jul 2026
$270
50%
$285
51%
$300
50%
$315
50%
$330
50%
$345
50%
$360
51%
$375
50%
$390
50%
$405
50%
$420
50%
$435
50%
$450
51%
$0.00 Vol.
$270
$0 Vol.
50%
$285
$0 Vol.
51%
$300
$0 Vol.
50%
$315
$0 Vol.
50%
$330
$0 Vol.
50%
$345
$0 Vol.
50%
$360
$0 Vol.
51%
$375
$0 Vol.
50%
$390
$0 Vol.
50%
$405
$0 Vol.
50%
$420
$0 Vol.
50%
$435
$0 Vol.
50%
$450
$0 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft shares have traded near $355 amid a roughly 25% year-to-date decline from the $555 peak reached in July 2025, despite fiscal Q3 2026 results showing revenue of $82.89 billion and EPS of $4.27 that exceeded estimates, with Azure growth exceeding 40% and AI run-rate surpassing $37 billion. The primary near-term catalyst is the fiscal Q4 earnings release expected around July 28–29, which will directly influence end-of-month closing levels amid ongoing capital expenditure on AI infrastructure and commercial remaining performance obligations near $627 billion. Analyst consensus price targets remain above $560, reflecting sustained cloud and productivity segment momentum, though broader technology sector rotation and memory cost pressures have weighed on near-term sentiment and implied volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 26, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 6:00 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft shares have traded near $355 amid a roughly 25% year-to-date decline from the $555 peak reached in July 2025, despite fiscal Q3 2026 results showing revenue of $82.89 billion and EPS of $4.27 that exceeded estimates, with Azure growth exceeding 40% and AI run-rate surpassing $37 billion. The primary near-term catalyst is the fiscal Q4 earnings release expected around July 28–29, which will directly influence end-of-month closing levels amid ongoing capital expenditure on AI infrastructure and commercial remaining performance obligations near $627 billion. Analyst consensus price targets remain above $560, reflecting sustained cloud and productivity segment momentum, though broader technology sector rotation and memory cost pressures have weighed on near-term sentiment and implied volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final trading day of July 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$0Data de Término
31 jul 2026Mercado Aberto
Jun 26, 2026, 6:00 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Microsoft shares have traded near $355 amid a roughly 25% year-to-date decline from the $555 peak reached in July 2025, despite fiscal Q3 2026 results showing revenue of $82.89 billion and EPS of $4.27 that exceeded estimates, with Azure growth exceeding 40% and AI run-rate surpassing $37 billion. The primary near-term catalyst is the fiscal Q4 earnings release expected around July 28–29, which will directly influence end-of-month closing levels amid ongoing capital expenditure on AI infrastructure and commercial remaining performance obligations near $627 billion. Analyst consensus price targets remain above $560, reflecting sustained cloud and productivity segment momentum, though broader technology sector rotation and memory cost pressures have weighed on near-term sentiment and implied volatility.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions