Polymarket traders assign a 62% implied probability to Microsoft (MSFT) closing above $430 on March 23, propelled by robust Q2 earnings showing 17% revenue growth to $65.6 billion, driven by Azure cloud expansion and Copilot AI monetization exceeding forecasts. Shares trade at $428 midday, testing resistance near the $432 all-time high, with bullish RSI above 60 signaling sustained momentum amid tech sector strength. Key watchpoints include March 19 FOMC rate decision for borrowing cost impacts and March 12 CPI release, which could spark volatility if inflation surprises higher. Trader capital reflects consensus on AI tailwinds outweighing antitrust scrutiny risks ahead of NYSE close resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoUS$ 370
96%
US$380
50%
$390
51%
$400
3%
$410
42%
$684 Vol.
US$ 370
96%
US$380
50%
$390
51%
$400
3%
$410
42%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 62% implied probability to Microsoft (MSFT) closing above $430 on March 23, propelled by robust Q2 earnings showing 17% revenue growth to $65.6 billion, driven by Azure cloud expansion and Copilot AI monetization exceeding forecasts. Shares trade at $428 midday, testing resistance near the $432 all-time high, with bullish RSI above 60 signaling sustained momentum amid tech sector strength. Key watchpoints include March 19 FOMC rate decision for borrowing cost impacts and March 12 CPI release, which could spark volatility if inflation surprises higher. Trader capital reflects consensus on AI tailwinds outweighing antitrust scrutiny risks ahead of NYSE close resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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