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icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de New Hampshire

Vencedor da eleição para governador de New Hampshire

icon for Vencedor da eleição para governador de New Hampshire

Vencedor da eleição para governador de New Hampshire

Polymarket

$16,853 Vol.

Polymarket

$16,853 Vol.

icon for Kelly Ayotte (R)

Kelly Ayotte (R)

$7,733 Vol.

85%

icon for Cinde Warmington (D)

Cinde Warmington (D)

$9,120 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race as the Republican incumbent seeking a second term, reflected in trader consensus pricing her victory at 85%. Her easy primary win on September 8, capturing over 91% of the vote against minor challengers, reinforced this standing. Recent polling averages show her ahead by roughly 10 points, supported by a substantial fundraising edge of nearly $3.7 million raised compared to Cinde Warmington’s $635,000. Warmington, the unopposed Democratic nominee and former executive councilor, has focused criticism on housing costs, education policy, and federal tariffs, yet historical patterns favor New Hampshire incumbents for reelection. Upcoming general election developments through November could still influence outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,853
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kelly Ayotte holds a commanding position in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race as the Republican incumbent seeking a second term, reflected in trader consensus pricing her victory at 85%. Her easy primary win on September 8, capturing over 91% of the vote against minor challengers, reinforced this standing. Recent polling averages show her ahead by roughly 10 points, supported by a substantial fundraising edge of nearly $3.7 million raised compared to Cinde Warmington’s $635,000. Warmington, the unopposed Democratic nominee and former executive councilor, has focused criticism on housing costs, education policy, and federal tariffs, yet historical patterns favor New Hampshire incumbents for reelection. Upcoming general election developments through November could still influence outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,853
Data de Término
3 nov 2026
Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Vencedor da eleição para governador de New Hampshire" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kelly Ayotte (R)" at 85%, followed by "Cinde Warmington (D)" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Vencedor da eleição para governador de New Hampshire" has generated $16.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Vencedor da eleição para governador de New Hampshire," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de New Hampshire" is "Kelly Ayotte (R)" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cinde Warmington (D)" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Vencedor da eleição para governador de New Hampshire" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.