Recent polls show Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintaining a double-digit lead over Republican Bobby Charles in Maine's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with support around 49% to his 38% and independent Rick Bennett drawing single digits. Janet Mills's term limit created the vacancy, allowing Pingree—a former House speaker—to consolidate Democratic support after her ranked-choice primary victory. Maine's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in statewide contests, combined with the party's structural advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. A late surge by Bennett splitting the vote or major shifts in economic conditions or candidate performance could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited pathways for a Republican win.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$31,874 Vol.
$31,874 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democrata
96%
Republicano
4%
$31,874 Vol.
$31,874 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democrata
$25,183 Vol.
96%
Republicano
$6,692 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls show Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintaining a double-digit lead over Republican Bobby Charles in Maine's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with support around 49% to his 38% and independent Rick Bennett drawing single digits. Janet Mills's term limit created the vacancy, allowing Pingree—a former House speaker—to consolidate Democratic support after her ranked-choice primary victory. Maine's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in statewide contests, combined with the party's structural advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. A late surge by Bennett splitting the vote or major shifts in economic conditions or candidate performance could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited pathways for a Republican win.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado Aberto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$31,874Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polls show Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintaining a double-digit lead over Republican Bobby Charles in Maine's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with support around 49% to his 38% and independent Rick Bennett drawing single digits. Janet Mills's term limit created the vacancy, allowing Pingree—a former House speaker—to consolidate Democratic support after her ranked-choice primary victory. Maine's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in statewide contests, combined with the party's structural advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. A late surge by Bennett splitting the vote or major shifts in economic conditions or candidate performance could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited pathways for a Republican win.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$31,874Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls show Democratic nominee Hannah Pingree maintaining a double-digit lead over Republican Bobby Charles in Maine's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with support around 49% to his 38% and independent Rick Bennett drawing single digits. Janet Mills's term limit created the vacancy, allowing Pingree—a former House speaker—to consolidate Democratic support after her ranked-choice primary victory. Maine's consistent preference for Democratic candidates in statewide contests, combined with the party's structural advantages in voter registration and turnout patterns, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic outcome. A late surge by Bennett splitting the vote or major shifts in economic conditions or candidate performance could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to limited pathways for a Republican win.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions