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Desporto·La Liga

Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?

icon for Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?
Desporto·La Liga

Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?

José Mourinho 54%

Andoni Iraola 20.9%

Enzo Maresca 16.4%

Unai Emery 14%

Polymarket

$41,667 Vol.

José Mourinho 54%

Andoni Iraola 20.9%

Enzo Maresca 16.4%

Unai Emery 14%

Polymarket

$41,667 Vol.

José Mourinho

$11,010 Vol.

54%

Andoni Iraola

$357 Vol.

18%

Enzo Maresca

$3,303 Vol.

16%

Unai Emery

$514 Vol.

14%

Jurgen Klopp

$11,027 Vol.

14%

Mauricio Pochettino

$654 Vol.

13%

Mikel Arteta

$727 Vol.

10%

Luis Enrique

$703 Vol.

8%

Didier Deschamps

$1,044 Vol.

7%

Zinedine Zidane

$2,231 Vol.

4%

Massimiliano Allegri

$8,508 Vol.

17%

Robert De Zerbi

$326 Vol.

1%

Julian Nagelsmann

$590 Vol.

1%

Thomas Tuchel

$334 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Glasner

$335 Vol.

<1%

Lionel Scaloni

$5 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Florentino Pérez's strong preference for José Mourinho as Real Madrid's next head coach has propelled the Portuguese tactician to a slim lead in trader consensus at 52.5%, following recent reports from The Athletic highlighting his past Bernabéu success and Pérez's trust despite board reservations over potential dressing-room tensions. Álvaro Arbeloa's 49.5% implied probability reflects ongoing support for the club legend serving as interim boss after Xabi Alonso's April sacking post-Champions League exit, with his academy ties and familiarity providing a counterweight amid Real Madrid's poor recent La Liga form and physical preparation concerns. The razor-thin margin underscores divided sentiment: Mourinho's experience versus Arbeloa's internal appeal, as no official appointment has materialized in the past week.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$41,667
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Florentino Pérez's strong preference for José Mourinho as Real Madrid's next head coach has propelled the Portuguese tactician to a slim lead in trader consensus at 52.5%, following recent reports from The Athletic highlighting his past Bernabéu success and Pérez's trust despite board reservations over potential dressing-room tensions. Álvaro Arbeloa's 49.5% implied probability reflects ongoing support for the club legend serving as interim boss after Xabi Alonso's April sacking post-Champions League exit, with his academy ties and familiarity providing a counterweight amid Real Madrid's poor recent La Liga form and physical preparation concerns. The razor-thin margin underscores divided sentiment: Mourinho's experience versus Arbeloa's internal appeal, as no official appointment has materialized in the past week.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$41,667
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "José Mourinho" at 54%, followed by "Andoni Iraola" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?" has generated $41.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?" is "José Mourinho" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andoni Iraola" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Próximo treinador do Real Madrid?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.