Trader consensus favors José Mourinho at 61.5% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next manager, fueled by recent reports of Florentino Pérez viewing him as the top choice amid a trophyless season under current coach Álvaro Arbeloa, with direct talks held between Pérez and Mourinho's agent Jorge Mendes. Arbeloa retains 49.5% as an internal option despite mounting pressure from poor La Liga form and a Champions League exit, with sources indicating he's unlikely to continue beyond summer. Lionel Scaloni's 30.5% reflects early shortlist inclusion tied to his Argentina success, while Jürgen Klopp at 17.5% and Unai Emery at 15.0% benefit from heavyweight credentials and availability post-club stints. Odds movements stem from the past week's crisis reports and Pérez's heavyweight coach preference.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoJosé Mourinho 62%
Lionel Scaloni 59%
Jurgen Klopp 23%
Andoni Iraola 20.9%
$41,289 Vol.
$41,289 Vol.
José Mourinho
62%
Lionel Scaloni
59%
Jurgen Klopp
18%
Andoni Iraola
12%
Unai Emery
15%
Enzo Maresca
13%
Mikel Arteta
12%
Mauricio Pochettino
13%
Luis Enrique
9%
Massimiliano Allegri
5%
Didier Deschamps
4%
Zinedine Zidane
4%
Julian Nagelsmann
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
Oliver Glasner
<1%
José Mourinho 62%
Lionel Scaloni 59%
Jurgen Klopp 23%
Andoni Iraola 20.9%
$41,289 Vol.
$41,289 Vol.
José Mourinho
62%
Lionel Scaloni
59%
Jurgen Klopp
18%
Andoni Iraola
12%
Unai Emery
15%
Enzo Maresca
13%
Mikel Arteta
12%
Mauricio Pochettino
13%
Luis Enrique
9%
Massimiliano Allegri
5%
Didier Deschamps
4%
Zinedine Zidane
4%
Julian Nagelsmann
1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
Oliver Glasner
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors José Mourinho at 61.5% implied probability to become Real Madrid's next manager, fueled by recent reports of Florentino Pérez viewing him as the top choice amid a trophyless season under current coach Álvaro Arbeloa, with direct talks held between Pérez and Mourinho's agent Jorge Mendes. Arbeloa retains 49.5% as an internal option despite mounting pressure from poor La Liga form and a Champions League exit, with sources indicating he's unlikely to continue beyond summer. Lionel Scaloni's 30.5% reflects early shortlist inclusion tied to his Argentina success, while Jürgen Klopp at 17.5% and Unai Emery at 15.0% benefit from heavyweight credentials and availability post-club stints. Odds movements stem from the past week's crisis reports and Pérez's heavyweight coach preference.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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