Polymarket traders price Netflix (NFLX) shares with tightly clustered implied probabilities across $80-$110 bins—led by $90-$100 at 48%—reflecting acute uncertainty ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, as the stock closed April 10 at $103.01 after climbing from $99 mid-week on analyst upgrades, including Morgan Stanley's $115 target citing ad-tier momentum and Goldman Sachs' $120 buy rating. Competitive pressures from Disney and others intensify focus on subscriber adds, pricing power, and engagement metrics, with Wall Street consensus eyeing $0.76 EPS and 14% full-year revenue growth; post-earnings volatility (implied ~7%) could swing outcomes during the April 13-17 resolution week.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado<$60 92%
$90-$100 50%
$100-$110 49%
$80-$90 48%
<$60
92%
$60-$70
46%
$70-$80
16%
$80-$90
48%
$90-$100
50%
$100-$110
49%
$110-$120
47%
$120-$130
47%
$130-$140
11%
$140-$150
11%
>$150
4%
<$60 92%
$90-$100 50%
$100-$110 49%
$80-$90 48%
<$60
92%
$60-$70
46%
$70-$80
16%
$80-$90
48%
$90-$100
50%
$100-$110
49%
$110-$120
47%
$120-$130
47%
$130-$140
11%
$140-$150
11%
>$150
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Apr 10, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Fonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price Netflix (NFLX) shares with tightly clustered implied probabilities across $80-$110 bins—led by $90-$100 at 48%—reflecting acute uncertainty ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, as the stock closed April 10 at $103.01 after climbing from $99 mid-week on analyst upgrades, including Morgan Stanley's $115 target citing ad-tier momentum and Goldman Sachs' $120 buy rating. Competitive pressures from Disney and others intensify focus on subscriber adds, pricing power, and engagement metrics, with Wall Street consensus eyeing $0.76 EPS and 14% full-year revenue growth; post-earnings volatility (implied ~7%) could swing outcomes during the April 13-17 resolution week.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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