Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split in Netflix (NFLX) share price expectations for the week ending April 25, 2026, with $100-$110 at 49% implied probability edging out $80-$90 and $90-$100 both at 45%, following a sharp post-earnings selloff. Q1 2026 results on April 16 beat estimates with $1.23 EPS versus $0.76 expected and 16% revenue growth to $12.25 billion, fueled by robust subscriber additions to over 325 million amid paid sharing crackdown success and ad-tier ramp-up toward $3 billion in 2026. However, soft Q2 margin guidance and decelerating international growth—amid intensifying competition from Disney+ bundles and Amazon Prime Video—triggered a 10% stock drop to around $97, heightening uncertainty over rebound potential versus further pressure from valuation concerns at 31x trailing earnings. Key swing factors include trading volume and broader market risk appetite ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$90-$100 65%
$100-$110 34%
$80-$90 14%
$110-$120 8.9%
<$60
1%
$60-$70
2%
$70-$80
1%
$80-$90
14%
$90-$100
65%
$100-$110
34%
$110-$120
9%
$120-$130
2%
$130-$140
2%
$140-$150
2%
>$150
1%
$90-$100 65%
$100-$110 34%
$80-$90 14%
$110-$120 8.9%
<$60
1%
$60-$70
2%
$70-$80
1%
$80-$90
14%
$90-$100
65%
$100-$110
34%
$110-$120
9%
$120-$130
2%
$130-$140
2%
$140-$150
2%
>$150
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Apr 17, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Fonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a razor-thin split in Netflix (NFLX) share price expectations for the week ending April 25, 2026, with $100-$110 at 49% implied probability edging out $80-$90 and $90-$100 both at 45%, following a sharp post-earnings selloff. Q1 2026 results on April 16 beat estimates with $1.23 EPS versus $0.76 expected and 16% revenue growth to $12.25 billion, fueled by robust subscriber additions to over 325 million amid paid sharing crackdown success and ad-tier ramp-up toward $3 billion in 2026. However, soft Q2 margin guidance and decelerating international growth—amid intensifying competition from Disney+ bundles and Amazon Prime Video—triggered a 10% stock drop to around $97, heightening uncertainty over rebound potential versus further pressure from valuation concerns at 31x trailing earnings. Key swing factors include trading volume and broader market risk appetite ahead of resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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