Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty for Netflix (NFLX) share price at the March 30 weekly close, with implied probabilities hovering near 50% across low-range bins from <$50 to $130-$140, signaling no dominant outcome amid streaming sector headwinds. Recent Q4 2024 earnings in January delivered robust subscriber adds and 35% ad-tier revenue growth, propelling shares to ~$890 levels, yet competitive dynamics from Disney's bundle pricing, Paramount's viability struggles, and Amazon Prime's content push erode pricing power and fuel churn risks. Key differentiators include Netflix's global scale and live sports pivot (NFL games, WWE Raw), but elevated content spend and macroeconomic slowdown fears cap upside; watch Q1 earnings in April for resolution catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado>$140 97%
<$50 50%
$50-$60 50%
$70-$80 50%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<$50
50%
$50-$60
50%
$60-$70
50%
$70-$80
50%
$80-$90
50%
$90-$100
50%
$100-$110
50%
$110-$120
50%
$120-$130
50%
$130-$140
50%
>$140
97%
>$140 97%
<$50 50%
$50-$60 50%
$70-$80 50%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<$50
$0 Vol.
50%
$50-$60
$0 Vol.
50%
$60-$70
$0 Vol.
50%
$70-$80
$0 Vol.
50%
$80-$90
$0 Vol.
50%
$90-$100
$0 Vol.
50%
$100-$110
$0 Vol.
50%
$110-$120
$0 Vol.
50%
$120-$130
$0 Vol.
50%
$130-$140
$0 Vol.
50%
>$140
$0 Vol.
97%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty for Netflix (NFLX) share price at the March 30 weekly close, with implied probabilities hovering near 50% across low-range bins from <$50 to $130-$140, signaling no dominant outcome amid streaming sector headwinds. Recent Q4 2024 earnings in January delivered robust subscriber adds and 35% ad-tier revenue growth, propelling shares to ~$890 levels, yet competitive dynamics from Disney's bundle pricing, Paramount's viability struggles, and Amazon Prime's content push erode pricing power and fuel churn risks. Key differentiators include Netflix's global scale and live sports pivot (NFL games, WWE Raw), but elevated content spend and macroeconomic slowdown fears cap upside; watch Q1 earnings in April for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Mar 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
Apr 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty for Netflix (NFLX) share price at the March 30 weekly close, with implied probabilities hovering near 50% across low-range bins from <$50 to $130-$140, signaling no dominant outcome amid streaming sector headwinds. Recent Q4 2024 earnings in January delivered robust subscriber adds and 35% ad-tier revenue growth, propelling shares to ~$890 levels, yet competitive dynamics from Disney's bundle pricing, Paramount's viability struggles, and Amazon Prime's content push erode pricing power and fuel churn risks. Key differentiators include Netflix's global scale and live sports pivot (NFL games, WWE Raw), but elevated content spend and macroeconomic slowdown fears cap upside; watch Q1 earnings in April for resolution catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$0Data de Término
Apr 3, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects profound uncertainty for Netflix (NFLX) share price at the March 30 weekly close, with implied probabilities hovering near 50% across low-range bins from <$50 to $130-$140, signaling no dominant outcome amid streaming sector headwinds. Recent Q4 2024 earnings in January delivered robust subscriber adds and 35% ad-tier revenue growth, propelling shares to ~$890 levels, yet competitive dynamics from Disney's bundle pricing, Paramount's viability struggles, and Amazon Prime's content push erode pricing power and fuel churn risks. Key differentiators include Netflix's global scale and live sports pivot (NFL games, WWE Raw), but elevated content spend and macroeconomic slowdown fears cap upside; watch Q1 earnings in April for resolution catalysts.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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