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icon for Óscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz

Óscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz

icon for Óscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz

Óscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz

Julianne Moore 26%

Inde Navarrette 23%

Renate Reinsve 16%

Rachel Brosnahan 6.6%

Polymarket

$48,884 Vol.

Julianne Moore 26%

Inde Navarrette 23%

Renate Reinsve 16%

Rachel Brosnahan 6.6%

Polymarket

$48,884 Vol.

icon for Julianne Moore

Julianne Moore

$32,113 Vol.

26%

icon for Inde Navarrette

Inde Navarrette

$5,236 Vol.

23%

icon for Renate Reinsve

Renate Reinsve

$10,126 Vol.

16%

icon for Rachel Brosnahan

Rachel Brosnahan

$20 Vol.

7%

icon for Ruth Madeley

Ruth Madeley

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Sophie Okonedo

Sophie Okonedo

$10 Vol.

7%

icon for Virginie Efira

Virginie Efira

$5 Vol.

6%

icon for Léa Seydoux

Léa Seydoux

$467 Vol.

6%

icon for Sandra Hüller

Sandra Hüller

$805 Vol.

5%

icon for Michelle Williams

Michelle Williams

$97 Vol.

5%

icon for Scarlett Johansson

Scarlett Johansson

$5 Vol.

5%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars still many months away and 2026 releases only beginning to screen, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no single performer has established clear momentum. Multiple names sit near even implied probability because early casting announcements, festival buzz, and limited precursor signals have yet to consolidate around frontrunners. Differentiating factors will emerge from fall festival premieres, guild nomination patterns, and critical consensus once more eligible performances reach audiences; historical voting shows late-season surges often reshape the race. Upcoming catalysts include major studio releases and awards-season launches that could quickly shift capital toward performers with strong reviews or box-office traction.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$48,884
Data de Término
14 mar 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars still many months away and 2026 releases only beginning to screen, trader sentiment reflects a wide-open field where no single performer has established clear momentum. Multiple names sit near even implied probability because early casting announcements, festival buzz, and limited precursor signals have yet to consolidate around frontrunners. Differentiating factors will emerge from fall festival premieres, guild nomination patterns, and critical consensus once more eligible performances reach audiences; historical voting shows late-season surges often reshape the race. Upcoming catalysts include major studio releases and awards-season launches that could quickly shift capital toward performers with strong reviews or box-office traction.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress.

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$48,884
Data de Término
14 mar 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 28, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Óscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Julianne Moore" at 26%, followed by "Inde Navarrette" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Óscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz" has generated $48.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Óscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Óscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz" is "Julianne Moore" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Inde Navarrette" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Óscares 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.