The Oscars 2027 Best Supporting Actress market remains wide open in August 2026, with dozens of contenders clustered near 50% implied probability and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Anne Hathaway leads named options at 39% on name recognition and proven awards pedigree, while Parker Posey, Penélope Cruz, and emerging talents like Mariana di Girolamo trail on early speculation tied to anticipated 2026 releases. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming festival premieres, guild nominations, and critical consensus once fall campaigns launch, as historical patterns show voters favoring established performers or breakout supporting turns. Key swing factors include box office performance, review aggregator scores, and SAG-AFTRA buzz that typically crystallize momentum by year-end. Traders are positioning for a fluid race where late-year releases could quickly reorder the field.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoOscars 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz Coadjuvante
Oscars 2027: Vencedora de Melhor Atriz Coadjuvante
Anne Hathaway 39%
Penélope Cruz 12%
Mariana di Girolamo 8.6%
Betty Gilpin 7%
$10,461 Vol.
$10,461 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Anne Hathaway
39%
Penélope Cruz
12%
Mariana di Girolamo
9%
Betty Gilpin
7%
Zendaya
7%
Parker Posey
7%
Tao Okamoto
6%
Inde Navarrette
5%
Sandra Hüller
4%
Margaret Qualley
4%
Isabella Rossellini
4%
Danielle Deadwyler
3%
Gemma Chan
3%
Anne Hathaway 39%
Penélope Cruz 12%
Mariana di Girolamo 8.6%
Betty Gilpin 7%
$10,461 Vol.
$10,461 Vol.
14 mar 2027
Anne Hathaway
$7,930 Vol.
39%
Penélope Cruz
$595 Vol.
12%
Mariana di Girolamo
$286 Vol.
9%
Betty Gilpin
$256 Vol.
7%
Zendaya
$213 Vol.
7%
Parker Posey
$71 Vol.
7%
Tao Okamoto
$50 Vol.
6%
Inde Navarrette
$202 Vol.
5%
Sandra Hüller
$231 Vol.
4%
Margaret Qualley
$233 Vol.
4%
Isabella Rossellini
$70 Vol.
4%
Danielle Deadwyler
$222 Vol.
3%
Gemma Chan
$102 Vol.
3%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Oscars 2027 Best Supporting Actress market remains wide open in August 2026, with dozens of contenders clustered near 50% implied probability and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Anne Hathaway leads named options at 39% on name recognition and proven awards pedigree, while Parker Posey, Penélope Cruz, and emerging talents like Mariana di Girolamo trail on early speculation tied to anticipated 2026 releases. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming festival premieres, guild nominations, and critical consensus once fall campaigns launch, as historical patterns show voters favoring established performers or breakout supporting turns. Key swing factors include box office performance, review aggregator scores, and SAG-AFTRA buzz that typically crystallize momentum by year-end. Traders are positioning for a fluid race where late-year releases could quickly reorder the field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$10,461Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Oscars 2027 Best Supporting Actress market remains wide open in August 2026, with dozens of contenders clustered near 50% implied probability and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Anne Hathaway leads named options at 39% on name recognition and proven awards pedigree, while Parker Posey, Penélope Cruz, and emerging talents like Mariana di Girolamo trail on early speculation tied to anticipated 2026 releases. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming festival premieres, guild nominations, and critical consensus once fall campaigns launch, as historical patterns show voters favoring established performers or breakout supporting turns. Key swing factors include box office performance, review aggregator scores, and SAG-AFTRA buzz that typically crystallize momentum by year-end. Traders are positioning for a fluid race where late-year releases could quickly reorder the field.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,461Data de Término
14 mar 2027Mercado Aberto
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Oscars 2027 Best Supporting Actress market remains wide open in August 2026, with dozens of contenders clustered near 50% implied probability and no dominant frontrunner emerging yet. Anne Hathaway leads named options at 39% on name recognition and proven awards pedigree, while Parker Posey, Penélope Cruz, and emerging talents like Mariana di Girolamo trail on early speculation tied to anticipated 2026 releases. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming festival premieres, guild nominations, and critical consensus once fall campaigns launch, as historical patterns show voters favoring established performers or breakout supporting turns. Key swing factors include box office performance, review aggregator scores, and SAG-AFTRA buzz that typically crystallize momentum by year-end. Traders are positioning for a fluid race where late-year releases could quickly reorder the field.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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