Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe maintains a clear lead in the October 26, 2026 Ottawa mayoral race, reflecting his established name recognition and the failure of challengers to consolidate support behind a single alternative. Recent July polling shows Sutcliffe ahead among decided voters, with homebuilder Alex Lawson gaining ground to edge city councillor Jeff Leiper for second place, while Neil Saravanamuttoo and Catherine McKenney trail further back. Nominations close August 21, and upcoming debates plus ongoing debates over transit priorities, infrastructure funding, and a potential ring road continue to shape voter sentiment ahead of the vote. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the fragmented field and Sutcliffe’s relative stability in surveys.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor das eleições autárquicas de Ottawa
Mark Sutcliffe 68%
Jeff Leiper 20%
Alex Lawson 11.9%
Neil Saravanamuttoo 1.8%
$63,773 Vol.
$63,773 Vol.

Mark Sutcliffe
68%

Jeff Leiper
20%

Alex Lawson
12%

Neil Saravanamuttoo
2%

Catherine McKenney
<1%
Mark Sutcliffe 68%
Jeff Leiper 20%
Alex Lawson 11.9%
Neil Saravanamuttoo 1.8%
$63,773 Vol.
$63,773 Vol.

Mark Sutcliffe
68%

Jeff Leiper
20%

Alex Lawson
12%

Neil Saravanamuttoo
2%

Catherine McKenney
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Mercado Aberto: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Mark Sutcliffe maintains a clear lead in the October 26, 2026 Ottawa mayoral race, reflecting his established name recognition and the failure of challengers to consolidate support behind a single alternative. Recent July polling shows Sutcliffe ahead among decided voters, with homebuilder Alex Lawson gaining ground to edge city councillor Jeff Leiper for second place, while Neil Saravanamuttoo and Catherine McKenney trail further back. Nominations close August 21, and upcoming debates plus ongoing debates over transit priorities, infrastructure funding, and a potential ring road continue to shape voter sentiment ahead of the vote. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the fragmented field and Sutcliffe’s relative stability in surveys.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado



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