Palantir's post-August 3 Q2 2026 earnings surge—93% revenue growth to $1.935 billion with U.S. commercial revenue up 149% and FY guidance raised to 82% expansion—has driven the stock to ~$186, embedding elevated expectations into near-term closes. With probabilities clustered tightly at 45–47.5% across $176–$194 ranges, trader sentiment reflects short-term volatility around current levels amid high valuations (over 150x earnings) and limited catalysts before the week of August 31. Momentum from AI sovereignty demand and Pentagon momentum competes with profit-taking risks and broader market swings, leaving outcomes evenly balanced as capital prices in execution uncertainty rather than directional certainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$182-$184 48%
$176-$178 47%
$186-$188 47%
$178-$180 46%
<$176
45%
$176-$178
47%
$178-$180
46%
$180-$182
45%
$182-$184
48%
$184-$186
45%
$186-$188
47%
$188-$190
45%
$190-$192
46%
$192-$194
45%
>$194
45%
$182-$184 48%
$176-$178 47%
$186-$188 47%
$178-$180 46%
<$176
45%
$176-$178
47%
$178-$180
46%
$180-$182
45%
$182-$184
48%
$184-$186
45%
$186-$188
47%
$188-$190
45%
$190-$192
46%
$192-$194
45%
>$194
45%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 28, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.
Fonte de resolução
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Palantir's post-August 3 Q2 2026 earnings surge—93% revenue growth to $1.935 billion with U.S. commercial revenue up 149% and FY guidance raised to 82% expansion—has driven the stock to ~$186, embedding elevated expectations into near-term closes. With probabilities clustered tightly at 45–47.5% across $176–$194 ranges, trader sentiment reflects short-term volatility around current levels amid high valuations (over 150x earnings) and limited catalysts before the week of August 31. Momentum from AI sovereignty demand and Pentagon momentum competes with profit-taking risks and broader market swings, leaving outcomes evenly balanced as capital prices in execution uncertainty rather than directional certainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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