Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's total April 2026 precipitation at just 34 mm—well below the 40 mm threshold and 47% of the climatological normal of 73 mm—driving unanimous trader consensus on the <40 mm outcome. Early-month rains on the 4th and 9th accounted for most accumulation, followed by prolonged high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection, fostering dry, warmer-than-average conditions (third-warmest April on record). This aligns with occasional spring drought analogs in the region, where frontal systems weaken post-winter. Post-finalization data revisions are exceedingly rare, though hypothetical measurement adjustments from ongoing quality checks could theoretically challenge the positioning, albeit with negligible probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoPrecipitação em Seul em abril?
Precipitação em Seul em abril?
<40mm 100.0%
40-45mm <1%
45-50mm <1%
50-55mm <1%
$49,513 Vol.
$49,513 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<40mm
Sim
40-45mm
Não
45-50mm
Não
50-55mm
Não
55-60mm
Não
60-65mm
Não
65-70mm
Não
70-75mm
Não
75 mm+
Não
<40mm 100.0%
40-45mm <1%
45-50mm <1%
50-55mm <1%
$49,513 Vol.
$49,513 Vol.
30 abr 2026
<40mm
$28,163 Vol.
Sim
40-45mm
$2,360 Vol.
Não
45-50mm
$3,026 Vol.
Não
50-55mm
$4,818 Vol.
Não
55-60mm
$3,844 Vol.
Não
60-65mm
$1,562 Vol.
Não
65-70mm
$1,608 Vol.
Não
70-75mm
$1,905 Vol.
Não
75 mm+
$2,227 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's total April 2026 precipitation at just 34 mm—well below the 40 mm threshold and 47% of the climatological normal of 73 mm—driving unanimous trader consensus on the <40 mm outcome. Early-month rains on the 4th and 9th accounted for most accumulation, followed by prolonged high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection, fostering dry, warmer-than-average conditions (third-warmest April on record). This aligns with occasional spring drought analogs in the region, where frontal systems weaken post-winter. Post-finalization data revisions are exceedingly rare, though hypothetical measurement adjustments from ongoing quality checks could theoretically challenge the positioning, albeit with negligible probability.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Volume
$49,513Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's total April 2026 precipitation at just 34 mm—well below the 40 mm threshold and 47% of the climatological normal of 73 mm—driving unanimous trader consensus on the <40 mm outcome. Early-month rains on the 4th and 9th accounted for most accumulation, followed by prolonged high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection, fostering dry, warmer-than-average conditions (third-warmest April on record). This aligns with occasional spring drought analogs in the region, where frontal systems weaken post-winter. Post-finalization data revisions are exceedingly rare, though hypothetical measurement adjustments from ongoing quality checks could theoretically challenge the positioning, albeit with negligible probability.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in April, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of April at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$49,513Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirm Seoul's total April 2026 precipitation at just 34 mm—well below the 40 mm threshold and 47% of the climatological normal of 73 mm—driving unanimous trader consensus on the <40 mm outcome. Early-month rains on the 4th and 9th accounted for most accumulation, followed by prolonged high-pressure dominance and limited moisture advection, fostering dry, warmer-than-average conditions (third-warmest April on record). This aligns with occasional spring drought analogs in the region, where frontal systems weaken post-winter. Post-finalization data revisions are exceedingly rare, though hypothetical measurement adjustments from ongoing quality checks could theoretically challenge the positioning, albeit with negligible probability.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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