The Federal Reserve’s September 16 rate hike of 25 basis points to a 3.75-4.00% target range, its first since 2023, has reinforced a higher-for-longer policy stance amid persistent inflation pressures, particularly from elevated energy prices, and shifted trader focus toward potential further tightening. With the S&P 500 trading near 7,650 after pulling back from August highs above 7,800, rising 10-year Treasury yields near 5% are weighing on valuations while corporate earnings growth, especially in AI-related sectors, provides underlying support. Market-implied odds reflect caution ahead of the October FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation and labor data, as elevated rates could constrain multiples despite resilient economic fundamentals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoO que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de dezembro?
O que o S&P 500 (SPX) atingirá até o final de dezembro?
$372,385 Vol.
31 dez 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9.300
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ $8.600
9%
↑ $8.200
26%
↑ $8,000
50%
↓ $7,400
66%
↓ $7,200
43%
↓ $7,000
25%
↓ $6.200
14%
↓ $6,000
9%
↓ $5.800
7%
↓ $5.200
4%
↓ $4.500
4%
$372,385 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$446 Vol.
3%
↑ $9.300
$10,126 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 Vol.
11%
↑ $8.600
$31,871 Vol.
9%
↑ $8.200
$23,939 Vol.
26%
↑ $8,000
$583 Vol.
50%
↓ $7,400
$81 Vol.
66%
↓ $7,200
$415 Vol.
43%
↓ $7,000
$2,128 Vol.
25%
↓ $6.200
$60,326 Vol.
14%
↓ $6,000
$4,961 Vol.
9%
↓ $5.800
$44,511 Vol.
7%
↓ $5.200
$70,295 Vol.
4%
↓ $4.500
$62,517 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The Federal Reserve’s September 16 rate hike of 25 basis points to a 3.75-4.00% target range, its first since 2023, has reinforced a higher-for-longer policy stance amid persistent inflation pressures, particularly from elevated energy prices, and shifted trader focus toward potential further tightening. With the S&P 500 trading near 7,650 after pulling back from August highs above 7,800, rising 10-year Treasury yields near 5% are weighing on valuations while corporate earnings growth, especially in AI-related sectors, provides underlying support. Market-implied odds reflect caution ahead of the October FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation and labor data, as elevated rates could constrain multiples despite resilient economic fundamentals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$372,385Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The Federal Reserve’s September 16 rate hike of 25 basis points to a 3.75-4.00% target range, its first since 2023, has reinforced a higher-for-longer policy stance amid persistent inflation pressures, particularly from elevated energy prices, and shifted trader focus toward potential further tightening. With the S&P 500 trading near 7,650 after pulling back from August highs above 7,800, rising 10-year Treasury yields near 5% are weighing on valuations while corporate earnings growth, especially in AI-related sectors, provides underlying support. Market-implied odds reflect caution ahead of the October FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation and labor data, as elevated rates could constrain multiples despite resilient economic fundamentals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Volume
$372,385Data de Término
31 dez 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve’s September 16 rate hike of 25 basis points to a 3.75-4.00% target range, its first since 2023, has reinforced a higher-for-longer policy stance amid persistent inflation pressures, particularly from elevated energy prices, and shifted trader focus toward potential further tightening. With the S&P 500 trading near 7,650 after pulling back from August highs above 7,800, rising 10-year Treasury yields near 5% are weighing on valuations while corporate earnings growth, especially in AI-related sectors, provides underlying support. Market-implied odds reflect caution ahead of the October FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation and labor data, as elevated rates could constrain multiples despite resilient economic fundamentals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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