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Powell previsões e probabilidades

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What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

99%

Good Afternoon

$199K Vol.

$203K Liq.

9

Ends há cerca de 9 horas

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

98%

June 30

$3M Vol.

$258K today

$113K Liq.

50

Ends em 15 dias

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

77%

December 31

$183K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

10

Ends em 8 meses

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

87%

May 15–22

$64.3K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

97%

June 30

$25.9K Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

Will trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair before he leaves?

1%

$86.0K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

19%

December 31

$11.1K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

4%

$263K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

33

Ends em 2 meses

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

5%

$3.5K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 meses

Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Powell Industries (POWL) beat quarterly earnings?

93%

$38 Vol.

$20 Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

99%

Kevin Warsh

$45M Vol.

$3M today

$2M Liq.

90

Ends em 6 meses

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

100%

No change

$214M Vol.

$17M today

$21M Liq.

16

Ends há cerca de 9 horas

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

48%

0 (0 bps)

$22M Vol.

$326K today

$901K Liq.

58

Ends em 8 meses

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

94%

No change

$11M Vol.

$283K today

$1M Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

86%

No change

$4M Vol.

$163K today

$412K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

57%

December Meeting

$2M Vol.

$102K Liq.

17

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

33%

No Next PM in 2026

$5M Vol.

$618K Liq.

52

Ends em 8 meses

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

21%

September Meeting

$68.4K Vol.

$30.3K Liq.

Ends em 6 meses

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

15%

$966K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

100%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$685K Vol.

$51.4K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 9 horas

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 150 active markets for Powell that lets you track or trade on predictions like “What will Powell say during April Press Conference?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $307.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Powell predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.