Traders assign a 99% implied probability against abolishing the Federal Reserve before 2027, reflecting the institution’s statutory foundation under the Federal Reserve Act and the substantial legislative barriers to repeal or dissolution. Congressional action would require broad majorities or reconciliation procedures unlikely in a divided environment, while economic reliance on central bank tools for monetary policy and financial stability reinforces institutional continuity. No major bills, confirmation fights, or executive orders have targeted abolition in recent months, and historical precedent shows rare structural overhauls of this scale. Even under potential shifts such as unified government control, debt ceiling crises, or inflation spikes, full elimination faces steep procedural and bipartisan resistance that sustains the current market consensus.