Trader consensus against abolishing the Federal Reserve before 2027 reflects the absence of viable legislative momentum for measures such as H.R. 1846, introduced in March 2025 and referred to committee without further action. Structural requirements for repealing the Federal Reserve Act, including passage by both chambers of Congress and presidential approval, combined with the central bank's established role in monetary policy and financial stability, limit realistic pathways. Recent developments have centered on Federal Reserve independence, interest-rate decisions, and confirmation processes rather than dissolution proposals. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a severe systemic crisis prompting emergency reforms, unexpected congressional majorities prioritizing such legislation, or successful advancement of related bills through procedural changes like ending the filibuster.