The Swiss National Bank’s September 24, 2026, assessment carries an 88.5% market-implied probability of an unchanged 0% policy rate, reflecting broad trader consensus that subdued inflation and franc strength continue to anchor monetary policy. Switzerland’s conditional inflation forecast remains near 0.6% for 2026–2027, well inside the SNB’s price-stability range, while the strong CHF has offset imported energy-price pressures stemming from recent geopolitical tensions. Recent surveys of economists and Swiss bankers show near-unanimous expectations of a hold through year-end and into 2027, with the first 25-basis-point hike not priced until mid-2027 at the earliest. The SNB has signaled readiness for FX intervention to counter excessive franc appreciation but sees no immediate need to adjust the policy rate from its current neutral stance. With the meeting just days away and no material shift in incoming data, the low probabilities assigned to rate moves underscore the stability of these conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoSem Mudança 89%
Aumento de 25 pontos-base 3.8%
Redução de 25 pontos-base 2.3%
Redução de mais de 50 pontos-base 1.7%
NOVO
NOVO
23 set 2026
Aumento de mais de 50 pontos-base
2%
Aumento de 25 pontos-base
4%
Sem Mudança
89%
Redução de 25 pontos-base
2%
Redução de mais de 50 pontos-base
2%
Sem Mudança 89%
Aumento de 25 pontos-base 3.8%
Redução de 25 pontos-base 2.3%
Redução de mais de 50 pontos-base 1.7%
NOVO
NOVO
23 set 2026
Aumento de mais de 50 pontos-base
$441 Vol.
2%
Aumento de 25 pontos-base
$693 Vol.
4%
Sem Mudança
$2,970 Vol.
89%
Redução de 25 pontos-base
$361 Vol.
2%
Redução de mais de 50 pontos-base
$381 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Swiss National Bank’s September 24, 2026, assessment carries an 88.5% market-implied probability of an unchanged 0% policy rate, reflecting broad trader consensus that subdued inflation and franc strength continue to anchor monetary policy. Switzerland’s conditional inflation forecast remains near 0.6% for 2026–2027, well inside the SNB’s price-stability range, while the strong CHF has offset imported energy-price pressures stemming from recent geopolitical tensions. Recent surveys of economists and Swiss bankers show near-unanimous expectations of a hold through year-end and into 2027, with the first 25-basis-point hike not priced until mid-2027 at the earliest. The SNB has signaled readiness for FX intervention to counter excessive franc appreciation but sees no immediate need to adjust the policy rate from its current neutral stance. With the meeting just days away and no material shift in incoming data, the low probabilities assigned to rate moves underscore the stability of these conditions.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ET
Volume
$4,845Data de Término
24 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.The Swiss National Bank’s September 24, 2026, assessment carries an 88.5% market-implied probability of an unchanged 0% policy rate, reflecting broad trader consensus that subdued inflation and franc strength continue to anchor monetary policy. Switzerland’s conditional inflation forecast remains near 0.6% for 2026–2027, well inside the SNB’s price-stability range, while the strong CHF has offset imported energy-price pressures stemming from recent geopolitical tensions. Recent surveys of economists and Swiss bankers show near-unanimous expectations of a hold through year-end and into 2027, with the first 25-basis-point hike not priced until mid-2027 at the earliest. The SNB has signaled readiness for FX intervention to counter excessive franc appreciation but sees no immediate need to adjust the policy rate from its current neutral stance. With the meeting just days away and no material shift in incoming data, the low probabilities assigned to rate moves underscore the stability of these conditions.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the SNB policy rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Swiss National Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
Volume
$4,845Data de Término
24 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Swiss National Bank’s September 24, 2026, assessment carries an 88.5% market-implied probability of an unchanged 0% policy rate, reflecting broad trader consensus that subdued inflation and franc strength continue to anchor monetary policy. Switzerland’s conditional inflation forecast remains near 0.6% for 2026–2027, well inside the SNB’s price-stability range, while the strong CHF has offset imported energy-price pressures stemming from recent geopolitical tensions. Recent surveys of economists and Swiss bankers show near-unanimous expectations of a hold through year-end and into 2027, with the first 25-basis-point hike not priced until mid-2027 at the earliest. The SNB has signaled readiness for FX intervention to counter excessive franc appreciation but sees no immediate need to adjust the policy rate from its current neutral stance. With the meeting just days away and no material shift in incoming data, the low probabilities assigned to rate moves underscore the stability of these conditions.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions