Tesla's share price has traded in a volatile range around $250–$270 following its October 23 Q3 earnings release, which delivered revenue of $25.2 billion beating estimates but revealed automotive gross margins of 17.1% amid pricing pressures and a sales mix shift toward lower-end models. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution over softening EV demand in Europe and China, intensifying competition from BYD, and delays in full self-driving regulatory approvals, tempering upside potential ahead of March 27. Key catalysts include Q4 earnings in late January, initial Cybercab robotaxi production updates, and FSD v13 performance data, with macroeconomic factors like potential Fed rate cuts supporting risk assets but high Treasury yields capping valuations at 90x forward earnings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNEW
Mar 27, 2026
$370
60%
US$ 380
26%
US$ 390
2%
$400
2%
$410
1%
$843 Vol.
$370
$149 Vol.
60%
US$ 380
$155 Vol.
26%
US$ 390
$385 Vol.
2%
$400
$64 Vol.
2%
$410
$90 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 27 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla's share price has traded in a volatile range around $250–$270 following its October 23 Q3 earnings release, which delivered revenue of $25.2 billion beating estimates but revealed automotive gross margins of 17.1% amid pricing pressures and a sales mix shift toward lower-end models. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution over softening EV demand in Europe and China, intensifying competition from BYD, and delays in full self-driving regulatory approvals, tempering upside potential ahead of March 27. Key catalysts include Q4 earnings in late January, initial Cybercab robotaxi production updates, and FSD v13 performance data, with macroeconomic factors like potential Fed rate cuts supporting risk assets but high Treasury yields capping valuations at 90x forward earnings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 27 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Mar 26, 2026, 8:00 AM ET
Volume
$843Data de Término
Mar 27, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 27 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Tesla's share price has traded in a volatile range around $250–$270 following its October 23 Q3 earnings release, which delivered revenue of $25.2 billion beating estimates but revealed automotive gross margins of 17.1% amid pricing pressures and a sales mix shift toward lower-end models. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution over softening EV demand in Europe and China, intensifying competition from BYD, and delays in full self-driving regulatory approvals, tempering upside potential ahead of March 27. Key catalysts include Q4 earnings in late January, initial Cybercab robotaxi production updates, and FSD v13 performance data, with macroeconomic factors like potential Fed rate cuts supporting risk assets but high Treasury yields capping valuations at 90x forward earnings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on March 27 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volume
$843Data de Término
Mar 27, 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 26, 2026, 8:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla's share price has traded in a volatile range around $250–$270 following its October 23 Q3 earnings release, which delivered revenue of $25.2 billion beating estimates but revealed automotive gross margins of 17.1% amid pricing pressures and a sales mix shift toward lower-end models. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution over softening EV demand in Europe and China, intensifying competition from BYD, and delays in full self-driving regulatory approvals, tempering upside potential ahead of March 27. Key catalysts include Q4 earnings in late January, initial Cybercab robotaxi production updates, and FSD v13 performance data, with macroeconomic factors like potential Fed rate cuts supporting risk assets but high Treasury yields capping valuations at 90x forward earnings.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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