Tesla (TSLA) shares are trading around $401 midday on April 17, 2026—well above the $370 threshold—driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for a weekly close exceeding that level, as trader consensus prices in minimal downside risk with limited hours remaining and subdued volatility. This strong positioning stems from a rapid rally off the April 13 close of $352, fueled by UBS's upgrade to Neutral from Sell on April 13, snapping an eight-week losing streak, and heightened anticipation for Q1 earnings on April 22 amid expectations of revenue growth following 358,000 vehicle deliveries reported early April. While a late-session plunge from adverse news or broader market turmoil remains a remote scenario, current momentum and high trading volume reinforce the near-certainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado>$370 100.0%
Abaixo de US$325 <1%
$325-$330 <1%
$330-$335 <1%
$4,813 Vol.
$4,813 Vol.
Abaixo de US$325
Não
$325-$330
Não
$330-$335
Não
$335-$340
No
$340-$345
Não
US$345–US$350
Não
$350-$355
Não
$355-$360
Não
$360-$365
Não
$365-$370
Não
>$370
Sim
>$370 100.0%
Abaixo de US$325 <1%
$325-$330 <1%
$330-$335 <1%
$4,813 Vol.
$4,813 Vol.
Abaixo de US$325
Não
$325-$330
Não
$330-$335
Não
$335-$340
No
$340-$345
Não
US$345–US$350
Não
$350-$355
Não
$355-$360
Não
$360-$365
Não
$365-$370
Não
>$370
Sim
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercado Aberto: Apr 10, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Fonte de resolução
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Tesla (TSLA) shares are trading around $401 midday on April 17, 2026—well above the $370 threshold—driving Polymarket's 100% implied probability for a weekly close exceeding that level, as trader consensus prices in minimal downside risk with limited hours remaining and subdued volatility. This strong positioning stems from a rapid rally off the April 13 close of $352, fueled by UBS's upgrade to Neutral from Sell on April 13, snapping an eight-week losing streak, and heightened anticipation for Q1 earnings on April 22 amid expectations of revenue growth following 358,000 vehicle deliveries reported early April. While a late-session plunge from adverse news or broader market turmoil remains a remote scenario, current momentum and high trading volume reinforce the near-certainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions