**Pre-release tracking for the October 2 wide release of the R-rated psychological erotic thriller “Verity” centers on a $30–40 million domestic opening weekend, driven by Colleen Hoover’s built-in readership, Anne Hathaway’s star power alongside Dakota Johnson and Josh Hartnett, and Michael Showalter’s direction.** Early forecasts from Boxoffice Pro and industry reports place the film in a range comparable to prior edgier three-handers like “A Simple Favor” and “The Housemaid,” but below the $50 million debut of the PG-13 “It Ends With Us.” The market-implied odds reflect closely contested buckets, with notable probability clustered below $28 million, underscoring trader caution around the genre shift from weepy romance to darker thriller, R-rating barriers, and competition from “Digger” on the same date. Key swing factors include final tracking updates, advance ticket sales, and word-of-mouth from the book’s fanbase in the ten days before opening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBilheteria de abertura do fim de semana "Verity"
Bilheteria de abertura do fim de semana "Verity"
28 milhões+ 26%
22-25 milhões 25%
25-28 milhões 25%
<16 milhões 18%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
<16 milhões
18%
16-19 milhões
18%
19-22 milhões
17%
22-25 milhões
25%
25-28 milhões
25%
28 milhões+
26%
28 milhões+ 26%
22-25 milhões 25%
25-28 milhões 25%
<16 milhões 18%
NOVO
NOVO
4 out 2026
<16 milhões
$0 Vol.
18%
16-19 milhões
$0 Vol.
18%
19-22 milhões
$0 Vol.
17%
22-25 milhões
$0 Vol.
25%
25-28 milhões
$0 Vol.
25%
28 milhões+
$40 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Pre-release tracking for the October 2 wide release of the R-rated psychological erotic thriller “Verity” centers on a $30–40 million domestic opening weekend, driven by Colleen Hoover’s built-in readership, Anne Hathaway’s star power alongside Dakota Johnson and Josh Hartnett, and Michael Showalter’s direction.**
Early forecasts from Boxoffice Pro and industry reports place the film in a range comparable to prior edgier three-handers like “A Simple Favor” and “The Housemaid,” but below the $50 million debut of the PG-13 “It Ends With Us.” The market-implied odds reflect closely contested buckets, with notable probability clustered below $28 million, underscoring trader caution around the genre shift from weepy romance to darker thriller, R-rating barriers, and competition from “Digger” on the same date. Key swing factors include final tracking updates, advance ticket sales, and word-of-mouth from the book’s fanbase in the ten days before opening.
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Volume
$40Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Pre-release tracking for the October 2 wide release of the R-rated psychological erotic thriller “Verity” centers on a $30–40 million domestic opening weekend, driven by Colleen Hoover’s built-in readership, Anne Hathaway’s star power alongside Dakota Johnson and Josh Hartnett, and Michael Showalter’s direction.**
Early forecasts from Boxoffice Pro and industry reports place the film in a range comparable to prior edgier three-handers like “A Simple Favor” and “The Housemaid,” but below the $50 million debut of the PG-13 “It Ends With Us.” The market-implied odds reflect closely contested buckets, with notable probability clustered below $28 million, underscoring trader caution around the genre shift from weepy romance to darker thriller, R-rating barriers, and competition from “Digger” on the same date. Key swing factors include final tracking updates, advance ticket sales, and word-of-mouth from the book’s fanbase in the ten days before opening.
This market will resolve according to how much "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 2 - 4) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$40Data de Término
4 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 21, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Pre-release tracking for the October 2 wide release of the R-rated psychological erotic thriller “Verity” centers on a $30–40 million domestic opening weekend, driven by Colleen Hoover’s built-in readership, Anne Hathaway’s star power alongside Dakota Johnson and Josh Hartnett, and Michael Showalter’s direction.** Early forecasts from Boxoffice Pro and industry reports place the film in a range comparable to prior edgier three-handers like “A Simple Favor” and “The Housemaid,” but below the $50 million debut of the PG-13 “It Ends With Us.” The market-implied odds reflect closely contested buckets, with notable probability clustered below $28 million, underscoring trader caution around the genre shift from weepy romance to darker thriller, R-rating barriers, and competition from “Digger” on the same date. Key swing factors include final tracking updates, advance ticket sales, and word-of-mouth from the book’s fanbase in the ten days before opening.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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