Market icon
Economia·Imobiliário

Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, no dia 30 de abril?

Market icon
Economia·Imobiliário

Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, no dia 30 de abril?

419 - 423k 49%

>439k 49%

423 - 427k 47%

435 - 439k 46%

Polymarket
NOVO

419 - 423k 49%

>439k 49%

423 - 427k 47%

435 - 439k 46%

Polymarket
NOVO

<415k

$0 Vol.

44%

415 - 419k

$0 Vol.

44%

419 - 423k

$0 Vol.

49%

423 - 427k

$0 Vol.

47%

427 - 431k

$0 Vol.

45%

431 - 435k

$0 Vol.

44%

435 - 439k

$0 Vol.

46%

>439k

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects tightly contested market-implied probabilities clustered around 415k–439k for Austin metro median home value on April 30, driven by Central Texas MLS data showing February 2026 median prices near $415k amid a post-pandemic correction down 24% from 2022 peaks, with March figures ticking up to ~$449k per early reports. Increased inventory at 4.9 months' supply and elevated days-on-market (91–96) signal buyer leverage and potential softening, offsetting resilient local job growth in tech and healthcare; persistent 6–7% mortgage rates cap demand upside. Key swing factors include April sales volume from Austin Board of Realtors releases and Federal Reserve signals on rate cuts, with traders pricing in stabilization over sharp moves.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
Volume
$0
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects tightly contested market-implied probabilities clustered around 415k–439k for Austin metro median home value on April 30, driven by Central Texas MLS data showing February 2026 median prices near $415k amid a post-pandemic correction down 24% from 2022 peaks, with March figures ticking up to ~$449k per early reports. Increased inventory at 4.9 months' supply and elevated days-on-market (91–96) signal buyer leverage and potential softening, offsetting resilient local job growth in tech and healthcare; persistent 6–7% mortgage rates cap demand upside. Key swing factors include April sales volume from Austin Board of Realtors releases and Federal Reserve signals on rate cuts, with traders pricing in stabilization over sharp moves.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)
Volume
$0
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 30, 2026, 6:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/27)

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, no dia 30 de abril?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "419 - 423k" at 49%, followed by ">439k" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, no dia 30 de abril?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 30, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, no dia 30 de abril?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, no dia 30 de abril?" is "419 - 423k" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">439k" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual será o valor médio da casa na área metropolitana de Austin, Texas, no dia 30 de abril?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.