Polymarket traders price a razor-thin contest for DC Metro median home value on April 30, with 555-558k (48.5%) narrowly leading 558-561k (48.0%) and adjacent bins within 46.5%, signaling deep uncertainty over modest appreciation amid balanced forces. March 2026 updates reveal February inventory surging 18% year-over-year to temper price momentum, offsetting 2.2% gains in contract activity and steady demand from the stable federal workforce. Easing 30-year mortgage rates around 6.1% support buyer participation, yet forecasts of 0.7-1% softening highlight inventory pressure as the key swing factor versus potential spring seasonal lift. Resolution awaits the late-April Parcl daily index print.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado561 - 564k 48%
<549k 48%
552 - 555k 48%
564 - 567k 47%
<549k
48%
549 - 552k
46%
552 - 555k
48%
555 - 558k
45%
558 - 561k
45%
561 - 564k
48%
564 - 567k
47%
>567k
46%
561 - 564k 48%
<549k 48%
552 - 555k 48%
564 - 567k 47%
<549k
48%
549 - 552k
46%
552 - 555k
48%
555 - 558k
45%
558 - 561k
45%
561 - 564k
48%
564 - 567k
47%
>567k
46%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)
Mercado Aberto: Mar 30, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 30, 2026. If no data for April 30 is released by May 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/29)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a razor-thin contest for DC Metro median home value on April 30, with 555-558k (48.5%) narrowly leading 558-561k (48.0%) and adjacent bins within 46.5%, signaling deep uncertainty over modest appreciation amid balanced forces. March 2026 updates reveal February inventory surging 18% year-over-year to temper price momentum, offsetting 2.2% gains in contract activity and steady demand from the stable federal workforce. Easing 30-year mortgage rates around 6.1% support buyer participation, yet forecasts of 0.7-1% softening highlight inventory pressure as the key swing factor versus potential spring seasonal lift. Resolution awaits the late-April Parcl daily index print.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions