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Política·DHS

Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?

Market icon
Política·DHS

Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?

abr 30

jul 31

abr 30

jul 31

Após 30 de abril 78.8%

21-24 de abril 6.3%

25 a 28 de abril 5.6%

29-30 de abril 5.6%

Polymarket

$952,452 Vol.

Após 30 de abril 78.8%

21-24 de abril 6.3%

25 a 28 de abril 5.6%

29-30 de abril 5.6%

Polymarket

$952,452 Vol.

17-20 de abril

$406,959 Vol.

1%

21-24 de abril

$50,629 Vol.

6%

25 a 28 de abril

$13,382 Vol.

6%

29-30 de abril

$13,922 Vol.

6%

Após 30 de abril

$159,588 Vol.

79%

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) funding lapse, ongoing since February 14 amid disputes over immigration enforcement reforms for ICE and CBP, has stretched past 60 days—the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history—driving trader consensus toward "After April 30" at 79% implied probability as no appropriations bill advances. House Republicans returned from recess on April 14 without passing bipartisan Senate funding measures for non-enforcement DHS components like TSA, FEMA, and CISA, despite ongoing House Appropriations hearings where officials warned Thursday of disintegrating operations, growing backlogs, and national security risks. Reconciliation talks for extended enforcement funding loom, but lack of a floor vote keeps short-term resolution buckets below 7%, reflecting partisan stalemate and historical delays in divided negotiations.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$952,452
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) funding lapse, ongoing since February 14 amid disputes over immigration enforcement reforms for ICE and CBP, has stretched past 60 days—the longest partial government shutdown in U.S. history—driving trader consensus toward "After April 30" at 79% implied probability as no appropriations bill advances. House Republicans returned from recess on April 14 without passing bipartisan Senate funding measures for non-enforcement DHS components like TSA, FEMA, and CISA, despite ongoing House Appropriations hearings where officials warned Thursday of disintegrating operations, growing backlogs, and national security risks. Reconciliation talks for extended enforcement funding loom, but lack of a floor vote keeps short-term resolution buckets below 7%, reflecting partisan stalemate and historical delays in divided negotiations.

This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026.

The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$952,452
Data de Término
30 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 25, 2026, 9:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the calendar date range (ET) of the end date of the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026. The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Após 30 de abril" at 79%, followed by "21-24 de abril" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" has generated $952.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" is "Após 30 de abril" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "21-24 de abril" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quando o desligamento do DHS terminará?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.