Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuais empresas terão um modelo de IA número1 até 30 de junho?
Quais empresas terão um modelo de IA número1 até 30 de junho?
$1,711,813 Vol.
30 jun 2026
OpenAI
Não
DeepSeek
Não
xAI
Não
Anthropic
Sim
Meta
Não
Mistral
Não
Alibaba
Não
Nvidia
Não
Baidu
Não
Z.ai
Não
Meituan
Não
$1,711,813 Vol.
OpenAI
$455,499 Vol.
Não
DeepSeek
$287,512 Vol.
Não
xAI
$594,365 Vol.
Não
Anthropic
$257,971 Vol.
Sim
Meta
$30,984 Vol.
Não
Mistral
$16,157 Vol.
Não
Alibaba
$20,914 Vol.
Não
Nvidia
$10,181 Vol.
Não
Baidu
$12,315 Vol.
Não
Z.ai
$20,598 Vol.
Não
Meituan
$5,317 Vol.
Não
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,711,813Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Volume
$1,711,813Data de Término
30 jun 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 22, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Não
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Não
Anthropic’s June 9 release of Claude Fable 5 has propelled its models—Fable 5, Opus 4.8, and Mythos variants—to the top of most June 2026 leaderboards, including composite quality indexes and agentic coding benchmarks, establishing a clear edge over competitors. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 Pro and Thinking variants sit immediately behind on reasoning and general tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.5 Flash lead select math or efficiency metrics but trail overall. With only days remaining until June 30 resolution and no major launches announced, trader sentiment centers on whether incremental updates or benchmark shifts can unseat Anthropic’s current lead before the cutoff.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions