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icon for A NewJeans se apresentará novamente até 31 de março?

A NewJeans se apresentará novamente até 31 de março?

icon for A NewJeans se apresentará novamente até 31 de março?

A NewJeans se apresentará novamente até 31 de março?

Sim

<1% chance
Polymarket

$23,253 Vol.

Sim

<1% chance
Polymarket

$23,253 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event. Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market. The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for "No" on NewJeans performing by March 31, driven by the K-pop group's prolonged hiatus amid the unresolved HYBE-ADOR legal saga. Court rulings in late 2025 upheld their contracts through 2029 but failed to spur activities, with industry analysts citing rebuild needs delaying any full-fledged comeback until the second half of 2026 at earliest. November 2025 reports of all five members returning to ADOR generated brief optimism, but no music releases, stages, or tours materialized, compounded by February 2026 disputes over Min Hee-jin's buyout. While the group briefly performed as NJZ in early 2026, this doesn't qualify under market resolution for NewJeans branding. With the deadline passed, realistic upsets are negligible barring an improbable last-second clarification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event.

Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market.

The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$23,253
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event. Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market. The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event. Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market. The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for "No" on NewJeans performing by March 31, driven by the K-pop group's prolonged hiatus amid the unresolved HYBE-ADOR legal saga. Court rulings in late 2025 upheld their contracts through 2029 but failed to spur activities, with industry analysts citing rebuild needs delaying any full-fledged comeback until the second half of 2026 at earliest. November 2025 reports of all five members returning to ADOR generated brief optimism, but no music releases, stages, or tours materialized, compounded by February 2026 disputes over Min Hee-jin's buyout. While the group briefly performed as NJZ in early 2026, this doesn't qualify under market resolution for NewJeans branding. With the deadline passed, realistic upsets are negligible barring an improbable last-second clarification.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event.

Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market.

The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$23,253
Data de Término
31 mar 2026
Mercado Aberto
Nov 13, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NewJeans (뉴진스, NJZ) gives at least one live performance as a group at any point between November 13, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying performance must involve at least three members of NewJeans performing together under the group name "NewJeans" in front of a live audience or as part of a livestreamed or televised event. Prerecorded performances aired within the market's timeframe that were filmed earlier will not count. Solo or sub-unit performances will not count. Dance practices or behind-the-scenes content do not qualify as performances for this market. The resolution source will be official announcements from NewJeans (including verified social media) and ADOR, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado proposto: Não

Sem contestação

Resultado final: Não

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"A NewJeans se apresentará novamente até 31 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "O NewJeans se apresentará novamente até 31 de março?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "A NewJeans se apresentará novamente até 31 de março?" has generated $23.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "A NewJeans se apresentará novamente até 31 de março?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "A NewJeans se apresentará novamente até 31 de março?" is "O NewJeans se apresentará novamente até 31 de março?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "A NewJeans se apresentará novamente até 31 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.