Recent breakthroughs have elevated frontrunners Hong Wang for her resolution of the Kakeya conjecture and Jacob Tsimerman for advances on the Andre-Oort conjecture, shaping trader consensus around their strong publication records and field impact ahead of the July 23, 2026, announcement at ICM Philadelphia. With nominations closed and the selection committee led by Hiraku Nakajima reviewing candidates under the age-40 rule, momentum favors those with high-profile results in number theory, geometry, and analysis, consistent with historical patterns where major proofs drive outcomes. Other contenders like Jack Thorne and John Pardon remain in play amid competitive dynamics. The proximity to the opening ceremony introduces last-minute factors, though secret voting and limited public signals keep uncertainty elevated until the ceremony.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQuem ganhará a Medalha Fields de 2026?
$538,892 Vol.
Jacob Tsimerman
67%
Hong Wang
76%
Yu Deng
55%
John Pardon
45%
Vesselin Dimitrov
49%
Jack Thorne
27%
Julian Sahasrabudhe
21%
Alexander Efimov
20%
Aleksandr Logunov
33%
Sam Raskin
17%
Will Sawin
18%
$538,892 Vol.
Jacob Tsimerman
67%
Hong Wang
76%
Yu Deng
55%
John Pardon
45%
Vesselin Dimitrov
49%
Jack Thorne
27%
Julian Sahasrabudhe
21%
Alexander Efimov
20%
Aleksandr Logunov
33%
Sam Raskin
17%
Will Sawin
18%
This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 6, 2026, 1:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal.
If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent breakthroughs have elevated frontrunners Hong Wang for her resolution of the Kakeya conjecture and Jacob Tsimerman for advances on the Andre-Oort conjecture, shaping trader consensus around their strong publication records and field impact ahead of the July 23, 2026, announcement at ICM Philadelphia. With nominations closed and the selection committee led by Hiraku Nakajima reviewing candidates under the age-40 rule, momentum favors those with high-profile results in number theory, geometry, and analysis, consistent with historical patterns where major proofs drive outcomes. Other contenders like Jack Thorne and John Pardon remain in play amid competitive dynamics. The proximity to the opening ceremony introduces last-minute factors, though secret voting and limited public signals keep uncertainty elevated until the ceremony.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
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