Among the nine AFC sides at the 2026 World Cup, trader consensus highlights Iraq, Iran, and Jordan as the most probable worst-placed finishers because of their lower FIFA rankings, narrower qualifying margins, and limited depth compared with established sides. Iraq secured its berth only through the March inter-confederation playoff after a grueling path, while Iran and Jordan enter with thinner recent results and smaller squads than Japan or South Korea. Stronger AFC nations such as Japan, South Korea, and Australia sit at lower probabilities given deeper rosters, superior recent form, and historical group-stage consistency. The elevated “Other” share reflects ongoing uncertainty over exact tiebreaker criteria and potential surprises from any of the nine entrants in the expanded 48-team format.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIran 32%
Jordan 28%
Saudi Arabia 27%
Iraq 25%
Australia
22%
Iran
32%
Iraq
25%
Japan
22%
Jordan
28%
Qatar
22%
Saudi Arabia
27%
South Korea
21%
Uzbekistan
22%
Iran 32%
Jordan 28%
Saudi Arabia 27%
Iraq 25%
Australia
22%
Iran
32%
Iraq
25%
Japan
22%
Jordan
28%
Qatar
22%
Saudi Arabia
27%
South Korea
21%
Uzbekistan
22%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 5, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed AFC nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Among the nine AFC sides at the 2026 World Cup, trader consensus highlights Iraq, Iran, and Jordan as the most probable worst-placed finishers because of their lower FIFA rankings, narrower qualifying margins, and limited depth compared with established sides. Iraq secured its berth only through the March inter-confederation playoff after a grueling path, while Iran and Jordan enter with thinner recent results and smaller squads than Japan or South Korea. Stronger AFC nations such as Japan, South Korea, and Australia sit at lower probabilities given deeper rosters, superior recent form, and historical group-stage consistency. The elevated “Other” share reflects ongoing uncertainty over exact tiebreaker criteria and potential surprises from any of the nine entrants in the expanded 48-team format.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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