The closely bunched probabilities across multiple CAF sides reflect broad trader uncertainty heading into the expanded 2026 World Cup group stage, where ten African nations compete and outcomes hinge on draw assignments, recent qualifying form, and squad depth. Algeria and Egypt sit near the top of the market at around 48-49% implied probability due to inconsistent recent results and challenging group matchups, while established sides like Morocco and Senegal post lower figures around 37-44% on the strength of deeper rosters and stronger historical head-to-head records. South Africa trails at 32.5% amid perceptions of relative stability. With most contenders separated by narrow margins in FIFA rankings and no dominant favorite or clear underdog, small shifts in pre-tournament fitness reports or early results could easily reorder the field.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCape Verde 50%
Congo DR 47%
Ghana 47%
Ivory Coast 47%
Algeria
45%
Cape Verde
50%
Congo DR
47%
Egypt
44%
Ghana
47%
Ivory Coast
47%
Morocco
38%
Senegal
45%
South Africa
46%
Tunisia
44%
Cape Verde 50%
Congo DR 47%
Ghana 47%
Ivory Coast 47%
Algeria
45%
Cape Verde
50%
Congo DR
47%
Egypt
44%
Ghana
47%
Ivory Coast
47%
Morocco
38%
Senegal
45%
South Africa
46%
Tunisia
44%
If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Jun 5, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that recorded fewer total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that scored fewer total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation that conceded more total goals through all main tournament rounds. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the worst-placed CAF nation cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely bunched probabilities across multiple CAF sides reflect broad trader uncertainty heading into the expanded 2026 World Cup group stage, where ten African nations compete and outcomes hinge on draw assignments, recent qualifying form, and squad depth. Algeria and Egypt sit near the top of the market at around 48-49% implied probability due to inconsistent recent results and challenging group matchups, while established sides like Morocco and Senegal post lower figures around 37-44% on the strength of deeper rosters and stronger historical head-to-head records. South Africa trails at 32.5% amid perceptions of relative stability. With most contenders separated by narrow margins in FIFA rankings and no dominant favorite or clear underdog, small shifts in pre-tournament fitness reports or early results could easily reorder the field.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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