The strong trader consensus around a 92.5% implied probability for an AI data center moratorium passing before 2027 stems primarily from the absence of any credible legislative momentum or political will in Congress, where broader tech regulation efforts have stalled amid competing priorities. Historical patterns of slow-moving policy on infrastructure and innovation echo the gradual rollout seen in cultural industries, with no guild-style precursors or industry-wide campaigns signaling imminent action. Key upcoming catalysts like midterm elections or executive orders could introduce volatility, though realistic upset scenarios would require a sudden bipartisan breakthrough or major public backlash that has yet to emerge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМораторий на центры обработки данных ИИ прошел до 2027 года?
Мораторий на центры обработки данных ИИ прошел до 2027 года?
Да
$58,885 Объем
$58,885 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$58,885 Объем
$58,885 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The strong trader consensus around a 92.5% implied probability for an AI data center moratorium passing before 2027 stems primarily from the absence of any credible legislative momentum or political will in Congress, where broader tech regulation efforts have stalled amid competing priorities. Historical patterns of slow-moving policy on infrastructure and innovation echo the gradual rollout seen in cultural industries, with no guild-style precursors or industry-wide campaigns signaling imminent action. Key upcoming catalysts like midterm elections or executive orders could introduce volatility, though realistic upset scenarios would require a sudden bipartisan breakthrough or major public backlash that has yet to emerge.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
Объем
$58,885Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The strong trader consensus around a 92.5% implied probability for an AI data center moratorium passing before 2027 stems primarily from the absence of any credible legislative momentum or political will in Congress, where broader tech regulation efforts have stalled amid competing priorities. Historical patterns of slow-moving policy on infrastructure and innovation echo the gradual rollout seen in cultural industries, with no guild-style precursors or industry-wide campaigns signaling imminent action. Key upcoming catalysts like midterm elections or executive orders could introduce volatility, though realistic upset scenarios would require a sudden bipartisan breakthrough or major public backlash that has yet to emerge.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.
The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$58,885Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The strong trader consensus around a 92.5% implied probability for an AI data center moratorium passing before 2027 stems primarily from the absence of any credible legislative momentum or political will in Congress, where broader tech regulation efforts have stalled amid competing priorities. Historical patterns of slow-moving policy on infrastructure and innovation echo the gradual rollout seen in cultural industries, with no guild-style precursors or industry-wide campaigns signaling imminent action. Key upcoming catalysts like midterm elections or executive orders could introduce volatility, though realistic upset scenarios would require a sudden bipartisan breakthrough or major public backlash that has yet to emerge.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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