Brazilian Senate rules require a qualified two-thirds majority to advance impeachment proceedings against Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices for crimes of responsibility, a threshold current political fragmentation has prevented despite more than 100 petitions filed since 2021, primarily targeting Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes. Recent congressional reports on scandals such as Banco Master produced recommendations but no floor votes or openings of formal processes, while STF monitoring of upcoming Senate elections highlights that even projected 2027 compositions fall short of the votes needed. With only months remaining before the 2027 cutoff, the absence of momentum in the current Congress underpins trader consensus that removal remains improbable. Late developments such as a major scandal producing cross-party support or an unexpected Senate realignment could still open proceedings, though both face steep institutional and calendar constraints.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$82,649 Объем
$82,649 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$82,649 Объем
$82,649 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazilian Senate rules require a qualified two-thirds majority to advance impeachment proceedings against Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices for crimes of responsibility, a threshold current political fragmentation has prevented despite more than 100 petitions filed since 2021, primarily targeting Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes. Recent congressional reports on scandals such as Banco Master produced recommendations but no floor votes or openings of formal processes, while STF monitoring of upcoming Senate elections highlights that even projected 2027 compositions fall short of the votes needed. With only months remaining before the 2027 cutoff, the absence of momentum in the current Congress underpins trader consensus that removal remains improbable. Late developments such as a major scandal producing cross-party support or an unexpected Senate realignment could still open proceedings, though both face steep institutional and calendar constraints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Объем
$82,649Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazilian Senate rules require a qualified two-thirds majority to advance impeachment proceedings against Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices for crimes of responsibility, a threshold current political fragmentation has prevented despite more than 100 petitions filed since 2021, primarily targeting Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes. Recent congressional reports on scandals such as Banco Master produced recommendations but no floor votes or openings of formal processes, while STF monitoring of upcoming Senate elections highlights that even projected 2027 compositions fall short of the votes needed. With only months remaining before the 2027 cutoff, the absence of momentum in the current Congress underpins trader consensus that removal remains improbable. Late developments such as a major scandal producing cross-party support or an unexpected Senate realignment could still open proceedings, though both face steep institutional and calendar constraints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$82,649Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazilian Senate rules require a qualified two-thirds majority to advance impeachment proceedings against Supreme Federal Court (STF) justices for crimes of responsibility, a threshold current political fragmentation has prevented despite more than 100 petitions filed since 2021, primarily targeting Alexandre de Moraes and Gilmar Mendes. Recent congressional reports on scandals such as Banco Master produced recommendations but no floor votes or openings of formal processes, while STF monitoring of upcoming Senate elections highlights that even projected 2027 compositions fall short of the votes needed. With only months remaining before the 2027 cutoff, the absence of momentum in the current Congress underpins trader consensus that removal remains improbable. Late developments such as a major scandal producing cross-party support or an unexpected Senate realignment could still open proceedings, though both face steep institutional and calendar constraints.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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