Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro remains detained at New York's Metropolitan Detention Center following his January 2026 capture by U.S. special forces and subsequent arraignment on federal narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, which carry potential life sentences. Trader consensus prices 60+ years at 34.5% amid a superseding indictment detailing alleged FARC ties and drug trafficking, bolstered by a March federal judge's denial of dismissal motions affirming the case's viability. Yet no prison time holds 28.5%, reflecting defenses invoking head-of-state immunity, improper abduction claims under international law, and pre-trial delays pushing any verdict or sentencing past 2027. The tight race hinges on upcoming hearings, possible plea negotiations, and diplomatic pressures, with acquittal or release scenarios keeping separation elusive.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено60+ 35%
Без тюремного срока 29%
20–40 15.0%
40–60 15%
$500,510 Объем
$500,510 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Без тюремного срока
29%
<20
5%
20–40
15%
40–60
15%
60+
35%
60+ 35%
Без тюремного срока 29%
20–40 15.0%
40–60 15%
$500,510 Объем
$500,510 Объем
31 дек. 2027 г.
Без тюремного срока
$368,528 Объем
29%
<20
$36,920 Объем
5%
20–40
$47,748 Объем
15%
40–60
$15,410 Объем
15%
60+
$31,904 Объем
35%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro remains detained at New York's Metropolitan Detention Center following his January 2026 capture by U.S. special forces and subsequent arraignment on federal narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, which carry potential life sentences. Trader consensus prices 60+ years at 34.5% amid a superseding indictment detailing alleged FARC ties and drug trafficking, bolstered by a March federal judge's denial of dismissal motions affirming the case's viability. Yet no prison time holds 28.5%, reflecting defenses invoking head-of-state immunity, improper abduction claims under international law, and pre-trial delays pushing any verdict or sentencing past 2027. The tight race hinges on upcoming hearings, possible plea negotiations, and diplomatic pressures, with acquittal or release scenarios keeping separation elusive.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Объем
$500,510Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro remains detained at New York's Metropolitan Detention Center following his January 2026 capture by U.S. special forces and subsequent arraignment on federal narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, which carry potential life sentences. Trader consensus prices 60+ years at 34.5% amid a superseding indictment detailing alleged FARC ties and drug trafficking, bolstered by a March federal judge's denial of dismissal motions affirming the case's viability. Yet no prison time holds 28.5%, reflecting defenses invoking head-of-state immunity, improper abduction claims under international law, and pre-trial delays pushing any verdict or sentencing past 2027. The tight race hinges on upcoming hearings, possible plea negotiations, and diplomatic pressures, with acquittal or release scenarios keeping separation elusive.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$500,510Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro remains detained at New York's Metropolitan Detention Center following his January 2026 capture by U.S. special forces and subsequent arraignment on federal narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, which carry potential life sentences. Trader consensus prices 60+ years at 34.5% amid a superseding indictment detailing alleged FARC ties and drug trafficking, bolstered by a March federal judge's denial of dismissal motions affirming the case's viability. Yet no prison time holds 28.5%, reflecting defenses invoking head-of-state immunity, improper abduction claims under international law, and pre-trial delays pushing any verdict or sentencing past 2027. The tight race hinges on upcoming hearings, possible plea negotiations, and diplomatic pressures, with acquittal or release scenarios keeping separation elusive.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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