The closely matched probabilities in this Bahia Federal Senate race for first place reflect a fragmented field of viable contenders, with recent August 2026 polling showing Rui Costa (PT) narrowly ahead of Jaques Wagner (PT) while Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) and João Roma (PL) remain competitive in consolidated scenarios. Primary dynamics include strong PT organizational strength in the state, cross-party coalitions nominating multiple Senate hopefuls, and voter indecision levels near 20 percent that sustain uncertainty ahead of the October 4 single-round vote. Developments such as shifts in gubernatorial coattails, turnout among key regional blocs, or late alliances could separate the leaders, as historical patterns in Bahia Senate contests demonstrate volatility in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCarlos Sodré 46%
Руй Кошта 46%
Марсело Санттана 44%
Профессор Деллиана 44%

Carlos Sodré
46%

Руй Кошта
46%

Марсело Санттана
44%

Профессор Деллиана
44%

Jaques Wagner
44%

Жоау Рома
44%

Angelo Coronel
43%

Gregorio Gould
42%

Марсело Карвалью
28%

Марсело Милле
24%
Carlos Sodré 46%
Руй Кошта 46%
Марсело Санттана 44%
Профессор Деллиана 44%

Carlos Sodré
46%

Руй Кошта
46%

Марсело Санттана
44%

Профессор Деллиана
44%

Jaques Wagner
44%

Жоау Рома
44%

Angelo Coronel
43%

Gregorio Gould
42%

Марсело Карвалью
28%

Марсело Милле
24%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities in this Bahia Federal Senate race for first place reflect a fragmented field of viable contenders, with recent August 2026 polling showing Rui Costa (PT) narrowly ahead of Jaques Wagner (PT) while Angelo Coronel (Republicanos) and João Roma (PL) remain competitive in consolidated scenarios. Primary dynamics include strong PT organizational strength in the state, cross-party coalitions nominating multiple Senate hopefuls, and voter indecision levels near 20 percent that sustain uncertainty ahead of the October 4 single-round vote. Developments such as shifts in gubernatorial coattails, turnout among key regional blocs, or late alliances could separate the leaders, as historical patterns in Bahia Senate contests demonstrate volatility in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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