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icon for Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Politics·Global Elections

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

icon for Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Politics·Global Elections

Galway-West By-Election Winner?

Seán Kyne 100.0%

Sheila Garrity <1%

Niall Murphy <1%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich <1%

Polymarket

$257,367 Объем

Seán Kyne 100.0%

Sheila Garrity <1%

Niall Murphy <1%

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich <1%

Polymarket

$257,367 Объем

Sheila Garrity

$61,491 Объем

No

Seán Kyne

$27,258 Объем

Yes

Niall Murphy

$22,154 Объем

No

Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich

$7,406 Объем

No

Orla Nugent

$28,241 Объем

No

Helen Ogbu

$31,487 Объем

No

Denman Rooke

$15,792 Объем

No

Noel Thomas

$33,678 Объем

No

Thomas Welby

$14,197 Объем

No

Mike Cubbard

$8,051 Объем

No

Mark Lohan

$7,613 Объем

No

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Seán Kyne secured the Galway West Dáil seat in the May 22 by-election through strong performance in later counts under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, overtaking first-preference leader Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland on the eleventh count after receiving decisive transfers from eliminated candidates including Labour’s Helen Ogbu. Kyne’s established local profile as a former TD and current Senator, combined with Fine Gael’s historical strength in the constituency and support from centre-right voters, positioned him to consolidate preferences effectively once lower-polling contenders were excluded. Other listed candidates trailed significantly throughout the process with no viable path to victory. A narrow final margin or formal recount challenge could theoretically delay formal resolution, though the official declaration has already confirmed the outcome.

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Объем
$257,367
Дата окончания
31 мар. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).Seán Kyne secured the Galway West Dáil seat in the May 22 by-election through strong performance in later counts under Ireland’s single transferable vote system, overtaking first-preference leader Noel Thomas of Independent Ireland on the eleventh count after receiving decisive transfers from eliminated candidates including Labour’s Helen Ogbu. Kyne’s established local profile as a former TD and current Senator, combined with Fine Gael’s historical strength in the constituency and support from centre-right voters, positioned him to consolidate preferences effectively once lower-polling contenders were excluded. Other listed candidates trailed significantly throughout the process with no viable path to victory. A narrow final margin or formal recount challenge could theoretically delay formal resolution, though the official declaration has already confirmed the outcome.

A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.

If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Объем
$257,367
Дата окончания
31 мар. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Feb 25, 2026, 7:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for a seat from the Galway West constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the election of Catherine Connoly as President of Ireland. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Galway West seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann. If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).

Предложенный исход: No

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: No

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Galway-West By-Election Winner?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Seán Kyne» с 100%, за ним следует «Sheila Garrity» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Galway-West By-Election Winner?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $257.4K с момента запуска рынка Feb 25, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Galway-West By-Election Winner?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Galway-West By-Election Winner?» — «Seán Kyne» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Sheila Garrity» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Galway-West By-Election Winner?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.