Current ensemble and deterministic model guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on September 26 near 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–21 °C. Small differences in peak readings hinge on the precise timing of any partial clearing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether afternoon insolation briefly exceeds model assumptions. Historical late-September maxima average 17–18 °C, so the current setup reflects modestly above-normal warmth driven by a transient ridge. Traders will monitor the next 12–24 h model cycles and official KNMI guidance for any westward shift in cloud cover or wind backing that could trim or boost the daily high by 1 °C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Амстердаме 26 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Амстердаме 26 сентября?
20°C 33%
19°C 27%
21°C 22%
18°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
12%
18°C
19%
19°C
27%
20°C
33%
21°C
22%
22°C
15%
23°C
14%
24°C или выше
<1%
20°C 33%
19°C 27%
21°C 22%
18°C 19%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
26 сент. 2026 г.
14°C или ниже
$11 Объем
<1%
15°C
$0 Объем
2%
16°C
$0 Объем
4%
17°C
$0 Объем
12%
18°C
$0 Объем
19%
19°C
$0 Объем
27%
20°C
$10 Объем
33%
21°C
$0 Объем
22%
22°C
$0 Объем
15%
23°C
$0 Объем
14%
24°C или выше
$11 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble and deterministic model guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on September 26 near 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–21 °C. Small differences in peak readings hinge on the precise timing of any partial clearing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether afternoon insolation briefly exceeds model assumptions. Historical late-September maxima average 17–18 °C, so the current setup reflects modestly above-normal warmth driven by a transient ridge. Traders will monitor the next 12–24 h model cycles and official KNMI guidance for any westward shift in cloud cover or wind backing that could trim or boost the daily high by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$32Дата окончания
26 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble and deterministic model guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on September 26 near 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–21 °C. Small differences in peak readings hinge on the precise timing of any partial clearing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether afternoon insolation briefly exceeds model assumptions. Historical late-September maxima average 17–18 °C, so the current setup reflects modestly above-normal warmth driven by a transient ridge. Traders will monitor the next 12–24 h model cycles and official KNMI guidance for any westward shift in cloud cover or wind backing that could trim or boost the daily high by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$32Дата окончания
26 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Current ensemble and deterministic model guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Amsterdam’s maximum temperature on September 26 near 19–20 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light northerly flow. This consensus underpins the tight clustering of market probabilities around 19–21 °C. Small differences in peak readings hinge on the precise timing of any partial clearing, boundary-layer mixing depth, and whether afternoon insolation briefly exceeds model assumptions. Historical late-September maxima average 17–18 °C, so the current setup reflects modestly above-normal warmth driven by a transient ridge. Traders will monitor the next 12–24 h model cycles and official KNMI guidance for any westward shift in cloud cover or wind backing that could trim or boost the daily high by 1 °C.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы