Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on April 21?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 21?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$95,937 Объем
$95,937 Объем
21 апр. 2026 г.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$95,937 Объем
$95,937 Объем
21 апр. 2026 г.
11°C or below
$2,692 Объем
No
12°C
$2,470 Объем
No
13°C
$3,633 Объем
No
14°C
$8,966 Объем
No
15°C
$10,660 Объем
No
16°C
$14,711 Объем
No
17°C
$18,065 Объем
Yes
18°C
$17,693 Объем
No
19°C
$10,364 Объем
No
20°C
$2,864 Объем
No
21°C or higher
$3,817 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Объем
$95,937Дата окончания
21 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$95,937Дата окончания
21 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 19, 2026, 12:31 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Official Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) observations from Ankara's Esenboğa International Airport station confirm the highest temperature on April 21 reached exactly 17°C, as recorded by calibrated on-site instruments through hourly updates ending midnight UTC. This definitive measurement, aligning with pre-event ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting daytime highs of 16–17°C under cool continental air masses and light cloud cover, has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 17°C. Such spring conditions are climatologically typical for early April in Ankara, where average highs hover around 16°C amid variable pressure systems. Realistic challenges would require an unprecedented MGM data revision due to sensor malfunction or quality control anomaly, though official records rarely change post-validation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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