Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a peak daytime temperature near 27–28°C in Ankara on June 24 under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. With only modest diurnal heating expected at the city’s roughly 900 m elevation and low precipitation probability, small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or subtle warm advection will determine whether readings settle at 26°C, 29°C, or higher. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet short-range model spreads of ±1–2°C remain typical at this lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and official point forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to the Esenboğa station maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Ankara on June 24?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 24?
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$52,435 Объем
$52,435 Объем
24 июн. 2026 г.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$52,435 Объем
$52,435 Объем
24 июн. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$362 Объем
No
24°C
$661 Объем
No
25°C
$924 Объем
No
26°C
$5,533 Объем
No
27°C
$8,126 Объем
No
28°C
$7,603 Объем
No
29°C
$16,459 Объем
Yes
30°C
$7,242 Объем
No
31°C
$3,616 Объем
No
32°C
$1,143 Объем
No
33°C or higher
$766 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a peak daytime temperature near 27–28°C in Ankara on June 24 under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. With only modest diurnal heating expected at the city’s roughly 900 m elevation and low precipitation probability, small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or subtle warm advection will determine whether readings settle at 26°C, 29°C, or higher. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet short-range model spreads of ±1–2°C remain typical at this lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and official point forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to the Esenboğa station maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jun 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$52,435Дата окончания
24 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a peak daytime temperature near 27–28°C in Ankara on June 24 under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. With only modest diurnal heating expected at the city’s roughly 900 m elevation and low precipitation probability, small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or subtle warm advection will determine whether readings settle at 26°C, 29°C, or higher. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet short-range model spreads of ±1–2°C remain typical at this lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and official point forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to the Esenboğa station maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$52,435Дата окончания
24 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 22, 2026, 12:08 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Recent forecast model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) points to a peak daytime temperature near 27–28°C in Ankara on June 24 under predominantly clear skies and light northerly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. With only modest diurnal heating expected at the city’s roughly 900 m elevation and low precipitation probability, small differences in boundary-layer mixing, afternoon cloud development, or subtle warm advection will determine whether readings settle at 26°C, 29°C, or higher. Historical June climatology shows average highs near 29°C, yet short-range model spreads of ±1–2°C remain typical at this lead time. Updated high-resolution runs and official point forecasts over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution criteria tied to the Esenboğa station maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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