Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 9 июля?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 9 июля?
24°C 100.0%
20°C или ниже <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$128,891 Объем
$128,891 Объем
9 июл. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
Нет
21°C
Нет
22°C
Нет
23°C
Нет
24°C
Да
25°C
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C или выше
Нет
24°C 100.0%
20°C или ниже <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$128,891 Объем
$128,891 Объем
9 июл. 2026 г.
20°C или ниже
$3,325 Объем
Нет
21°C
$4,999 Объем
Нет
22°C
$13,456 Объем
Нет
23°C
$63,211 Объем
Нет
24°C
$7,034 Объем
Да
25°C
$9,283 Объем
Нет
26°C
$6,883 Объем
Нет
27°C
$4,846 Объем
Нет
28°C
$4,943 Объем
Нет
29°C
$4,408 Объем
Нет
30°C или выше
$6,501 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Объем
$128,891Дата окончания
9 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$128,891Дата окончания
9 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Recent short-range model guidance from ECMWF and regional sources shows Istanbul under a cooler, moister air mass on July 9, with daytime maxima forecast near 25 °C amid passing showers and increased cloud cover that limit solar heating. This places the highest probability on the 25 °C outcome, while the closely traded 26 °C band reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of any convective activity or Bosphorus sea-breeze effects. July climatology favors highs near 28–29 °C, yet the current pattern deviates due to a transient trough enhancing moisture and suppressing peak temperatures. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service briefings over the next 48 hours will be the key catalysts for any further shifts in trader positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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