National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 85–86°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) today under south winds of 10–15 mph gusting to 25 mph and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher. Observations confirm midday temperatures already surpassing 74°F after an early low near 56°F, aligning with seasonal averages of 85°F for early May and warm advection from southerly flow. This strong scientific consensus reflects model agreement on ample daytime heating. Realistic challenges would require an improbable sudden marine layer intrusion or unforecast cold front, with no such signals in current upper-air analyses or ensemble guidance. Updated observations and evening reports will finalize resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Austin on May 4?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 4?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$31,816 Объем
$31,816 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$31,816 Объем
$31,816 Объем
4 мая 2026 г.
47°F or below
$3,809 Объем
No
48-49°F
$1,312 Объем
No
50-51°F
$1,596 Объем
No
52-53°F
$984 Объем
No
54-55°F
$1,537 Объем
No
56-57°F
$947 Объем
No
58-59°F
$847 Объем
No
60-61°F
$847 Объем
No
62-63°F
$1,056 Объем
No
64-65°F
$7,761 Объем
No
66°F or higher
$11,121 Объем
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 85–86°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) today under south winds of 10–15 mph gusting to 25 mph and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher. Observations confirm midday temperatures already surpassing 74°F after an early low near 56°F, aligning with seasonal averages of 85°F for early May and warm advection from southerly flow. This strong scientific consensus reflects model agreement on ample daytime heating. Realistic challenges would require an improbable sudden marine layer intrusion or unforecast cold front, with no such signals in current upper-air analyses or ensemble guidance. Updated observations and evening reports will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Объем
$31,816Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 85–86°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) today under south winds of 10–15 mph gusting to 25 mph and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher. Observations confirm midday temperatures already surpassing 74°F after an early low near 56°F, aligning with seasonal averages of 85°F for early May and warm advection from southerly flow. This strong scientific consensus reflects model agreement on ample daytime heating. Realistic challenges would require an improbable sudden marine layer intrusion or unforecast cold front, with no such signals in current upper-air analyses or ensemble guidance. Updated observations and evening reports will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$31,816Дата окончания
4 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 2, 2026, 12:09 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
National Weather Service forecasts from the Austin/San Antonio office project a high near 85–86°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) today under south winds of 10–15 mph gusting to 25 mph and mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies, driving the market's 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher. Observations confirm midday temperatures already surpassing 74°F after an early low near 56°F, aligning with seasonal averages of 85°F for early May and warm advection from southerly flow. This strong scientific consensus reflects model agreement on ample daytime heating. Realistic challenges would require an improbable sudden marine layer intrusion or unforecast cold front, with no such signals in current upper-air analyses or ensemble guidance. Updated observations and evening reports will finalize resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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